News, Notes and Highlighted Games: Monday, Jan 26th

For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day, which has Centenary Award implications – CLICK HERE

PUPPET RAMBLINGS

-We will be recording the Bracket Racket tonight due to too many conflicts in too many important people’s schedules last night.  Although no one else is as important as me, some of them are still important enough to where we have to delay the show.

-TCU had a chance to pick up a huge road win against a very good West Virginia team, which they really needed if they want making the NCAA Tournament to even seem like a remote possibility, but they lost in overtime in what was a very crazy and exciting sequence of events, which featured what appeared to be two game winning shots, one by each team, and then game winning freethrows by West Virginia.  Trent Johnson was understandably upset after the game, particularly with the foul being called.  I always thought of him as a decent but not great coach, and I’ve always thought of TCU’s basketball program to be an awful and not even close to decent program, but despite the loss and despite the fact they aren’t likely to make the tournament, they are still one of the most improved programs that is in a major conference.  There is a new electricity and enthusiasm around the team that has never been there before, and that is an obvious sign of progress.

-Northwestern seems to lose in dramatic fashion an inordinate amount of the time.  It’s been happening for years, and last night it happened again.  After dominating Maryland in Maryland’s own house for literally 37 minutes, it all came unglued.  They blew a double digit lead, and the crowd was going ballistic as Maryland quickly cut it down, and then took the lead, and ultimately won the game in the final seconds.  Northwestern might be more cursed than the Cubs.  Seriously.

-We see it almost every year.  There is a team right now that no one is talking about, and that if someone were to say they thought the team would make the NCAA Tournament they’d get laughed out of the room, that probably ultimately will end up making the NCAA Tournament.  Last year it was Nebraska who went from not being anywhere close to the bubble to rampaging through February and March and making the field.  Baylor was another team that destroyed the planet late in the year, but they were never really that far away from the bubble last year so I don’t know if they count.  This year, who could it be?

DePaul??  They did lose at Xavier over the weekend, but they won at Seton Hall prior to that.  They were pathetic to start the year with most of their wins being close games against weak teams, but a switch flipped in conference and they are suddenly competitive.  Now, going .500 isn’t going to do it, but if they can get hot and start racking up notable wins, they could go from completely out of the picture to inside the bubble.

Nebraska??  They started off in the rankings so I don’t know if they should count even though they’ve fallen 100 miles outside of the rankings since, but it was about this time last year when they were a fringe top 100 team, and Tim Miles and CO. started to destroy the planet and ended up making the field as an at-large.

Missouri??  They….well…umm…no.

Western Kentucky??  I realize they are so far out, and their conference affords them very few chances at notable wins, but it may award them with just enough opportunities.  They’re unbeaten in the league, and the schedule is packed with road games on the back end.  If they can run the table or come close to it, and pick up those road wins, they’ll be in the discussion and perhaps even inside the bubble.  As much as this team appears to have improved, they may be playing better than anyone in the league, and actually be good enough to pull this off.

-I continue to be impressed with Notre Dame.  They picked up a big road win in dramatic fashion against a good NC State team in front of a rabid crowd, and they had to come from behind to do it.  Truth be told I wasn’t expecting much out of Notre Dame, and perhaps that is still subconsciously how I think of them, which makes it even more impressive when I see them play well.  As good as they are, you wish they’d have scheduled more good teams out of conference.  They were certainly capable of winning them.

-I don’t think there is a better first year coach than Chris Holtmann at Butler, and I don’t even think it’s close.  I guess technically Holtmann isn’t a first year head coach since he had been a head coach before moving to Butler to be an assistant, but you get the idea.  He’s the best coach who was not a head coach a year ago.  They are drastically improved, and the circumstances that he walked in to weren’t exactly favorable.  They’ve been strong away from home, and a few of their losses have been close games to good teams on the road, so they really weren’t that damaging.  Butler is not in the rankings, but when you look at their body of work it’s as impressive, if not more so, than many teams that are.

-Alabama, who has lost several critical close games, finally won a close game.  Unfortunately it was a home game against a weak team, but at least they won a close game.

-The weather is getting ugly for a lot of people out in Hoops HD Land.  Please stay safe and stay warm.

 

TODAY’S HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-SYRACUSE AT NORTH CAROLINA (ACC).  North Carolina appears to be a continuously improving team, and Syracuse is hovering around the inside part of the bubble.  That can change in a hurry if they can pull off an upset win in a game like this, but it’s much easier said than done.

-SFA AT LAMAR (Southland).  SFA is coming off what was probably their biggest conference test of the year with a win at Sam Houston State.  If they win out, they’ll be on the bubble regardless of what happens in the conference tournament.

-TEXAS AT IOWA STATE (Big Twelve).  Both teams are ranked, and both have big wins on their profile already.  Texas isn’t quite as strong on paper, but if they can pick up a road win like this they will be.

 

 

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Monday, January 26, 2015: Maryland-Eastern Shore at Florida A&M

Maryland-Eastern Shore at Florida A&M, 7:30 PM Eastern, No TV

The UTR Game of the Day is escaping Winter Storm Juno by heading down to Tallahassee, Florida tonight as the Florida A&M Rattlers host the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks in MEAC play.  For those of you following our video podcasts, you are well aware that FAMU is the current odds-on favorite to take home the coveted “Centenary Award” this season.  This award is given by the staff here at HOOPS HD annually to the worst team in Division I.  It is not meant to demean these teams in any way — in fact it is with great pride that we have watched former Centenary Award winner Towson turn its program around.  In a few years, we hope to be saying the same about this year’s winner.  However, for now, FAMU is 0-19 on the season and will be a huge underdog in all remaining games this season, including tonight’s home contest against UMES.

Speaking of incredible turnarounds, that is exactly what has happened so far this season for the Hawks.  UMES enters tonight’s game at 11-10 on the season overall and 4-2 in conference play.  They have notably won games at Fordham, at Duquesne and at St. Bonaventure already this season.  A 12th victory on the season tonight would be their most since 2001.  The Hawks have not finished with a winning record on the season since 1994, and doing so this year is a very realistic goal.  The job that Bobby Collins has done in his first year at the helm for the Hawks has been absolutely amazing.  Then again, Collins did have a good deal of success in his prior stint in the MEAC, leading Hampton to four straight upper division finishes including an NCAA tournament berth in 2006.  He notably was the assistant that took over for Steve Merfeld after Hampton memorably beat Iowa State as a 15 seed in the 2001 tournament.  A win tonight by the Hawks will help continue their resurgence.  While a MEAC championship would be a stretch this season, especially given how well North Carolina Central is playing, it is clear that UMES is on the road to becoming a serious contender in the years to come.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Sunday, January 25, 2015: UMBC at Albany

For the rest of today’s highlighted action, CLICK HERE.

UMBC at Albany, 4:30 PM Eastern, Time Warner SportsChannel-New York, free streaming at americaeast.tv

The UTR Game of the Day heads to Albany, New York today, home of Bob and Ron’s Fish Fry, and more importantly for our purposes, home of the America East-leading Albany Great Danes.  UAlbany enters today’s game at 6-0 in conference play and 11-7 overall.  They have moved into sole possession of first place following Vermont’s upset loss at New Hampshire earlier this week.  The Great Danes have won nine of their last ten games and should be able to stretch that out to 10 of 111 this afternoon.  Sam Rowley has reached double digits in scoring 14 times this season, including a 22 point effort in a huge road win at Hartford earlier this week.  If he continues to play at this level, he and his Great Danes could be in prime position for the top seed in the America East tournament and home court advantage throughout same.

As well as UAlbany has been playing lately, the same cannot be said of the Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers.  UMBC is only 3-16 overall and 1-5 in America East play, having picked up their lone conference victory earlier this week against Maine.  Cody Joyce is one of the few bright spots for the struggling Retrievers, especially after getting 28 points and 8 rebounds against Maine.  A win in Albany this afternoon would be an upset, and a chance for the Retrievers to begin turning their season around.

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Highlighted Games For Sunday, Jan 25th

For a viewing guide of all of today’s (and this week’s) action, check out Matt Sarzyniak’s website and viewing guide – CLICK HERE

-VIRGINIA AT VIRGINIA TECH (ACC).  Virginia is clearly the better team, and VA Tech is still looking for their first league win.  Still, the rivalry in this series can be an equalizer.

-INDIANA AT OHIO STATE (Big Ten).  Indiana is in the rankings and appears to keep getting better.  Ohio State is inside the bubble, but is far from solid and still has some work to do.  Picking up a notable conference win would sure help.

-DRAKE AT WICHITA STATE (Missouri Valley).  I don’t expect Wichita to have too much trouble at home.

-CINCINNATI AT UCF (American).  UCF isn’t the best team, but it is a chance for Cincinnati to pick up a road win, which in and of itself will help their profile.

-DUKE AT SAINT JOHN’S.  Mike Krzyzewski could end up getting his 1000th win.  As far as the tournament goes, Duke is looking like a #1 seed and has some big wins already.  The Johnnies are good, but they still have some work to do.

-SETON HALL AT BUTLER (Big East).  Both teams have looked good and are hovering around the middle of the conference.  Every conference game seems to have a pivotal feel to it in the Big East.

-NJIT AT SOUTH ALABAMA.  Our adopted team, and the team of the people, is trying to pick up their 12th win of the year, and hopefully get a step closer to earning a bid to the CIT, which would be their first postseason bid ever.

-NORTHERN IOWA AT ILLINOIS STATE (Missouri Valley).  Northern Iowa is a strong team that is likely a first ballot team, but this won’t be an easy road game for them.  Illinois State isn’t a tournament team, but they’re tough to beat at home, so the committee will give them some credit if they’re able to pull this off.

-LOUISVILLE AT PITTSBURGH (ACC).  Louisville is a strong team, but they only have two true road wins, and although Pitt isn’t great, it would probably be their best true road win up to this point.

-NOTRE DAME AT NC STATE (ACC).  Notre Dame is looking more and more like a protected seed, and his risen high in the rankings.  NC State is right on the bubble, so every game has a pivotal feel to it.  This is a chance to add a notable win to their profile.

-CREIGHTON AT VILLANOVA (Big East).  Nova still has a shot at ending up as high as a #1 seed, and shouldn’t have too much trouble against a struggling Creighton team, especially at home.

-NORTHWESTERN AT MARYLAND (Big Ten).  Maryland is having a huge year despite coming off a somewhat surprising loss to Indiana.  Still, they shouldn’t have too much trouble at home.

-WASHINGTON AT UTAH (Pac Twelve).  Washington is right on the bubble and winning this game would go a very long way toward putting them inside of it.  Utah is way up in the rankings and has a very impressive tournament profile.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Saturday, January 24, 2015: Stephen F. Austin at Sam Houston State

For the rest of today’s highlighted action, CLICK HERE.

Stephen F. Austin at Sam Houston State, 5:30 PM Eastern, free streaming at gobearkats.com

The Battle of the Piney Woods, basketball style, will be played in Hunstsville, Texas this afternoon as the two top teams in the Southland Conference collide for today’s Under the Radar Game of the Day.  Despite our comments earlier this week that this game was not available for viewing, Sam Houston State is offering a free video stream of both the women’s game at 3:00 PM Eastern and the men’s game to follow approximately thirty minutes afterwards.

SFA enters today’s game at 5-0 in SLC play and 15-3 overall.   Their RPI is only 101, but they have a decent BPI at 80 and an even better KenPom rating at 50.  The Lumberjacks best wins were a road win at Memphis and a home win over Long Beach State.  However, all three of their losses were to legitimate NCAA tournament contenders — Northern Iowa, Baylor and Xavier.  Further, they have not lost since November 24 and enter today’s rivalry game on a 14 game winning streak.  Including conference tournament play, they have won 25 straight Southland Conference games after sweeping the conference last season.  Should they continue their domination of the conference, there may still have a shot at an at-large bid, in the event one is necessary.

The Bearkats of Sam Houston State enter today’s game at 6-0 in SLC play and 14-4 overall.  Their RPI is 107, BPI is 91, and KenPom is 78.  Their only win of note, however, was a home win over Eastern Washington, the top team in the Big Sky.  They have suffered losses to Wofford, UNLV, Texas A&M and LSU, none of which is an awful loss.  However, the Bearkats’ only shot at an NCAA bid will come in the Southland Conference tournament.  They can make a major stride towards the top seed in that tournament with a win over their rivals today.

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Highlighted Games For Saturday, Jan 24th

For a viewing guide of all of today’s (and this week’s) action, check out Matt Sarzyniak’s website and viewing guide – CLICK HERE

-OKLAHOMA STATE AT KANSAS STATE (Big Twelve).  Oklahoma State has looked good, but another conference road win will help improve their profile.

-TULSA AT EAST CAROLINA (American).  We kind of dismissed Tulsa after a slow start to the season, but they’re unbeaten in conference, which kind of forces us to at least pay attention to them.

-DEPAUL AT XAVIER (Big East).  DePaul is 5-2 in the league, and although they’re not expected to win this one, they’ve been playing really well and this would be their third conference win.  Xavier is right on the bubble, so every game has a pivotal feel.

-IOWA AT PURDUE (Big Ten).  Iowa has been inconsistent on the year, but still has looked pretty good.

-KENTUCKY AT SOUTH CAROLINA (SEC).  Kentucky has struggled on the road in conference a time or two, but they’re still the #1 overall team in the country.  It’ll be interesting to see what an improved, but still far from great, South Carolina team can do against them.

-TEXAS A&M AT TENNESSEE (SEC).  I’ve mentioned before that I didn’t think Tennessee was close to the bubble.  Well, I didn’t until I sat down and did my last seed list and actually ended up with them in the field  I have TAMU under consideration as well.  Both have a lot of work to do, so this is a big game for both teams.

-KANSAS AT TEXAS (Big Twelve).  Kansas has improved as the year has gone on, and this would be a huge road win on their profile if they pull it off.  Both teams are looking like protected seeds.

-TCU AT WEST VIRGINIA (Big Twelve).  I really like this West Virginia team, and could see them shooting way up the rankings and up the seed list if they do well in this league.

-BUFFALO AT OHIO (MAC).  We haven’t written Buffalo completely off yet as being unable to reach the bubble, but one more loss and we probably will.

-FLORIDA STATE AT NORTH CAROLINA (ACC).  UNC is a solid protected seed who appears to be improving as the year goes along.

-DUQUESNE AT GEORGE WASHINGTON (Atlantic Ten).  It hasn’t always been easy for GW, but so far they’ve managed to pull out wins in several close games.  They don’t want to drop one like this at home to a very weak Duquesne team.

-DARTMOUTH AT HARVARD (Ivy League).  The race for first in the Ivy is on.

-ARKANSAS AT MISSOURI (SEC).  Arkansas hasn’t looked all that strong in their last two games, but they survived earlier this week against Alabama.  This should be a winnable road game for a team who traditionally struggles on the road, but has managed to pick a few up this year.

-ILLINOIS AT MINNESOTA (Big Ten).  Illinois is on the bubble.  The committee favors road wins, and this is a winnable road game for them.

-GEORGETOWN AT MARQUETTE (Big East).  Georgetown has a solid profile, and this should be a winnable conference road game for them.

-GEORGIA AT MISSISSIPPI STATE (SEC).  We have Georgia inside the bubble, but they’re not the best road team.  This is the kind of road game that a tournament team should be expected to win.

-IOWA STATE AT TEXAS TECH (Big Twelve).  I seem to like this Iowa State team a lot more than most.  Either way, I don’t think they’ll have too much trouble picking this one up.

-BYU AT SAN DIEGO (West Coast).  BYU is running out of strikes.  If they lose one or two more they’ll likely be unable to end up inside the bubble.

-MIAMI FL AT SYRACUSE (ACC).  Miami is another team that I seem to like a lot more than most.  Syracuse isn’t having the best year, but they’re still being projected in the field and it’s still not an easy place to win.  I think Miami will be able to do it, though.

-NEW MEXICO AT WYOMING (Mountain West).  A big game that will impact the top of the MWC standings, and that involves a Wyoming team that’s on the bubble, and a New Mexico team that could end up there if they’re able to finish at or near the top of the league.

-UCLA AT OREGON (Pac Twelve).  Both teams need to win this game, and do a lot more than that, to get back into the picture.  UCLA has at least playing better in their last few games.

-MICHIGAN STATE AT NEBRASKA (Big Ten).  Michigan State is very close to the bubble and could use a notable road win.  Nebraska, while not a tournament team, is still tough at home and Michigan State would get credit for the win.  Tim Miles is….oh forget it.  It’s just too depressing.

-OLD DOMINION AT UAB (Conference USA).  A huge sense of urgency is setting in for Old Dominion, who has lost two conference road games to teams that will not finish inside the bubble.  If they drop a third road game, and fall three games behind Western Kentucky in the standings, it will become very hard to make a case that they’re an at-large team if that holds up.

-SFA AT SAM HOUSTON (Southland).  These are the best two teams in the Southland, and it’s on Sam Houston’s home court.  It will be SFA’s toughest challenge between now and the end of the year, and if they win out, they should at least get a look.

-OKLAHOMA AT BAYLOR (Big Twelve).  Both teams are ranked, and both are likely protected seeds, so it’s a chance for both to pick up a quality win.  Baylor is also trying to avoid dropping to 2-4 in league play.

-HOUSTON AT SMU (American).  Because of the slow start, I don’t think too many people realize how well SMU is playing right now.  I bet the committee has noticed, though.

-LSU AT VANDERBILT (SEC).  LSU is having a good year and should end up safely in the field.  This isn’t the easiest road game for them, but it is certainly one they’re capable of winning.

-FLORIDA AT OLE MISS (SEC).  I’m mentioning this game only to mention that I’m not mentioning this game.

-DAVIDSON AT GEORGE MASON (Atlantic Ten).  It’s quite simple.  Davidson is a bubble team.  If they want to be a tournament team, they need to win all their road games against teams as weak as George Mason is.

-RICHMOND AT DAYTON (Atlantic Ten).  Dayton is coming off a road loss to Davidson, and although they don’t have many good wins, they should still be alright so long as they avoid losses to non-tournament teams.  Like Richmond, for instance.

-WISCONSIN AT MICHIGAN (Big Ten).  Wisconsin is good enough to possibly end up with a #1 seed, and Michigan has a lot of work to do just to get back into the conversation.  That being said, beating Wisconsin would be a fantastic start.

-PACIFIC AT GONZAGA (West Coast).  We see a lot of this in conference play for the Zags, but this is a conference game that will feel like a buy game.

-AUBURN AT ALABAMA (SEC).  Alabama is outside the bubble, but they did nearly pull off wins at Wichita State and at Arkansas, so they aren’t exactly terrible.  They’ll get more chances to play their way into the conversation.  Having said that, losing at home to a rival that’s nowhere near the conversation would not be good.

-SAINT MARY’S AT PORTLAND (West Coast).  SMC is right on the bubble, but should be fine so long as they avoid bad losses, which pretty much means avoiding losses to anyone other than Gonzaga.

-SAN DIEGO STATE AT COLORADO STATE (Mountain West).  This should be a fun one.  It’s two of the better teams in the Mountain West.  San Diego State could still end up as a protected seed, and Colorado State is going after a signature win that can help solidify their resume.

-ARIZONA AT CALIFORNIA (Pac Twelve).  It’s never easy to play on the road, but this is still a game Arizona, who is a potential #1 seed, shouldn’t have too much trouble winning.

-ARIZONA STATE AT STANFORD (Pac Twelve).  Stanford appears to be a tournament caliber team, and should be fine if they do things like avoid home losses to non-tournament caliber teams.

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