Puppet’s Merit Rankings/Bracket Projections: November 11th

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Okay, it is VERY important you read this before scrolling down because I want to make sure everyone knows what they’re looking at.

These are strictly MERIT RANKINGS.  This is NOT an attempt to rank how good I think teams actually are, or how good they will be on Selection Sunday.  If a top 5 team has done nothing so far other than play and win a couple of buy games, they’ll be ranked behind a UTR team that went out and won a road game even if I think the top 5 team would absolutely dump truck the UTR team that I have ranked ahead of them.

Because of that, you get what amounts to insane looking rankings, and therefore an insane looking bracket.  I know it’s insane.  In fact, that’s actually part of what makes doing one this early kind of fun.  So, if you’re looking at it and you think “WTF is this??” what I mentioned above is what it is.

I do this for two reasons.  1) it gets me in the habit of evaluating teams the way a committee member would as early as possible, and 2) I like doing it this way.  I know it’s impractical, but it’s still fun.

I do not think you’ll see Villanova and Memphis as #15 seeds in March.

I do not think Michigan State will end up being just outside the bubble.

I do not think you will see teams like Vermont, Nicholls, Northeaster, South Dakota, and Dartmouth in the top half of the bracket in March.

This is strictly CURRENT MERIT, and it’s more about the exercise of evaluating teams than it is ranking them.  At this point, ranking teams based on merit isn’t just like splitting hairs, it’s like splitting BALD hairs.

  1. KENTUCKY – 2-0, neutral win vs Michigan State
  2. DUKE – 2-0, neutral floor win vs Kansas
  3. TEXAS – 2-0, win @ Purdue
  4. WASHINGTON – 1-0, neutral floor win vs Baylor
  5. Virginia – 2-0, win @ Syracuse
  6. Florida State – 1-1, win @ Florida, loss at Pittsburgh
  7. Colorado – 1-0, neutral floor win vs Arizona State
  8. North Carolina – 2-0, wins vs Notre Dame and @ UNCW
  9. Louisville – 2-0, win @ Miami FL
  10. SAN DIEGO STATE – 2-0, road win @ BYU
  11. Auburn – 2-0, neutral floor win vs Davidson
  12. SAINT MARY’S – 1-0, neutral win vs Wisconsin
  13. Arizona – 2-0, home win vs Illinois
  14. ILLINOIS – 2-1, home win vs Nicholls, road win @ Grand Canyon, loss @ Arizona
  15. Oklahoma – 2-0, neutral win vs Minnesota
  16. Ohio State – 2-0, home win vs Cincinnati
  17. Utah – 2-0, road win @ Nevada
  18. VERMONT – 2-0 on the road (@ St. Bona and @ Bucknell)
  19. Kansas State – 2-0, won @ UNLV
  20. Kansas – 1-1, neutral loss vs Duke, home win vs UNC Greensboro
  21. NORTHEASTERN – 2-0, road win @ Boston U, home win vs Harvard
  22. Maryland – 2-0, home win vs Rhode Island
  23. NICHOLLS – 1-1, loss @ Illinois, win @ Pittsburgh
  24. Virginia Tech – 2-0, wins @ Clemson
  25. SOUTH DAKOTA – 2-0, road win @ Hawaii
  26. Boston College – 2-0, wins at home vs Wake Forest, @ South Florida
  27. Pittsburgh – 1-1, home win vs Florida State, loss vs Nicholls
  28. DARTMOUTH – 1-0, road win @ Buffalo
  29. Oregon State – 2-0, home win vs Iowa State
  30. MIDDLE TENNESSEE – 2-0, road win @ Lipscomb
  31. WRIGHT STATE – 2-0, road win @ Miami OH
  32. OHIO U – 2-0, win @ Saint Bonaventure
  33. FURMAN – 2-0, road win @ Gardner Webb
  34. EASTERN WASHINGTON – 2-0, win @ Seattle
  35. William & Mary – 2-0, road wins @ High Point, @ American
  36. NORTHERN IOWA – 2-0, road win @ Northern Illinois
  37. Southern Utah – 2-0, road win @ Nebraska
  38. UC RIVERSIDE – 2-0, road win @ Nebraska
  39. Oregon – 2-0, home wins vs Fresno State and Boise State
  40. LITTLE ROCK – 1-1, road win @ Missouri State, loss @ Illinois State
  41. BUCKNELL – 1-1, win @ Fairfield, home loss to Vermont
  42. Penn – 1-1, road win @ Alabama, loss @ Rice
  43. Idaho State – 1-1, win @ Air Force
  44. East Tennessee State – 2-0, road win @ UT Martin
  45. Delaware – 4-0, 3 neutral floor wins (Oakland, Southern Illinois, UTSA)
  46. Oakland – 3-1, neutral loss to Delaware, neutral wins vs UTSA and Southern Illinois
  47. CAMPBELL – 2-0, win @ Coastal Carolina
  48. MONMOUTH – 1-1, road win @ Lehigh, loss @ Hofstra
  49. South Dakota State – 2-0, road win @ Cal State Bakersfield
  50. Yale – 2-0, road win @ Stony Brook
  51. Lehigh – 1-1 home loss to Monmouth, road win @ Albany
  52. Winthrop – 1-1, win @ Hartford, loss @ Fresno State
  53. uab – 1-0, win @ Troy
  54. UNC Asheville – 1-1, loss @ Tennessee, win @ Citadel
  55. Western Michigan – 2-0, road win @ McNeese
  56. Rider – 2-0, road wins @ Coppin State and @ Delaware State
  57. Marist – 1-0, road win @ VMI
  58. Brown – 2-0, road win @ Bryant
  59. Illinois State – 2-0, home win vs Belmont
  60. Loyola MD – 1-1, road loss @ Marquette, road win @ Chicago State
  61. Michigan State – 0-1, neutral loss to Kentucky
  62. Gonzaga – 2-0 in buy games
  63. Florida – 1-1, won a buy game, home loss to Florida State
  64. Texas Tech – 2-0 in buy games
  65. VILLANOVA – 1-0 in buy games
  66. Seton Hall – 2-0 in buy games
  67. MEMPHIS – 2-0 in buy games
  68. Xavier – 2-0 in buy games
  69. Utah State – 2-0 in buy games
  70. Lsu – 1-0 in buy games
  71. VCU – 2-0 in buy games
  72. Tennessee – 1-0 in buy games
  73. San Jose State – 1-1, road win @ Hofstra, home loss to Portland
  74. Baylor – 1-1, won a buy game, neutral loss vs Washington
  75. Purdue – 1-1, won a buy game, home loss to Texas
  76. Mississippi State – 2-0 in buy games
  77. Houston – has not yet played
  78. South Carolina – 2-0, buy game win, home win vs Wyoming
  79. Cincinnati – 0-1. Lost @ Ohio State
  80. Davidson – 0-1, lost @ Auburn
  81. LIBERTY – 1-0 in buy games
  82. Wichita State – 2-0 in buy games
  83. Michigan – 1-0 in buy games
  84. Georgetown – 2-0 in buy games
  85. West Virginia – 1-0 in buy games
  86. Wisconsin – 1-1, won a buy game, lost to Saint Mary’s
  87. NEW MEXICO STATE – no div1 wins
  88. Usc – 2-0 in buy games
  89. Iowa – 1-0 in buy games
  90. Dayton – 1-0 in buy games
  91. Temple – 2-0 in buy games
  92. Oklahoma State – 1-0 in buy games
  93. Marquette – 1-0 in buy games
  94. Byu – 1-1, won buy game, home loss vs San Diego State
  95. UNC Greensboro – 1-1, loss @ Kansas, won a buy game
  96. UConn – 1-0 in buy games
  97. Iowa State – 1-1, won a buy game, lost @ Oregon State
  98. Creighton – 1-0 in buy games
  99. Indiana – 2-0 in buy games
  100. Missouri – 2-0 in buy games
  101. Minnesota – 1-1, won a buy game, home loss to Oklahoma
  102. Penn State – 2-0 in buy games
  103. Duquesne – 1-0 in buy games
  104. Western Kentucky – 2-0 in buy games
  105. Butler – 2-0 in buy games
  106. Providence – 2-0 in buy games
  107. Arkansas – 1-0 in buy games
  108. New Mexico – 2-0 in buy games
  109. Saint Joseph’s – 1-1, won at home vs Bradley, lost @ Old Dominion
  110. ucf – 1-0 in buy games
  111. George Mason – 2-0 in buy games
  112. Rutgers – 2-0 in buy games
  113. Saint John’s – 2-0 in buy games
  114. La Salle – 1-0 in buy games
  115. smu – 1-0 in buy games
  116. Georgia – 1-0 in buy games
  117. ucla – 2-0 in buy games
  118. Stanford – 2-0 in buy games
  119. Ole Miss – 1-0 in buy games
  120. South Florida – 1-1 (won buy game, lost at home to BC)
  121. Saint Louis – 2-0 in buy games
  122. DePaul – 2-0 in div1 buy games
  123. Texas A&M – 1-0 in buy games
  124. Richmond – 1-0 in buy games
  125. UMass – 2-0 in buy games
  126. Colorado State – 1-1, road loss @ Duke, won buy game
  127. Washington State – 1-0 in buy games
  128. California – 1-0 in buy games
  129. MOREHEAD STATE – 2-0, home win vs Samford
  130. Vanderbilt – 1-0 in buy games
  131. SAINT FRANCIS BROOKLYN – 1-1, home win vs Lafayette
  132. NORTH CAROLINA A&T – 1-1, home win vs Charleston Southern
  133. GRAMBLING – 2-0, both wins nondiv1

 

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