The Hoops HD Report (Jan 2nd)

Happy New Year Everybody!!

Chad and the panel are back for the first Hoops HD podcast of the new year, and we cover a lot as conference play is now getting in to full swing. It was also a busy end of the year with three major upsets in Notre Dame’s blowout over Virginia, Stanford’s blowout over Arizona, and Florida Atlantic’s loss at Florida Gulf Coast. We look at all three of those, as well as how much Gonzaga seems to now be struggling. The Mountain West has as many as six teams that could land inside the bubble, and a couple who may be on pace to earn protected seeds. Houston is tops in nearly every predictive metric, and we discuss them and how strong the entire Big 12 is. The ACC and Big East have big weeks this year, and we break all of that down. We discuss all that, and more…

And, for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Tuesday, Jan 2nd

NEWS, NOTES, AND LINKS:

-For the latest Hoops HD Staff Bracket Projections, which were done by John Stalica this week – CLICK HERE

-For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-For Jon Teitel’s Mid-Season Awards – CLICK HERE for Part 1 and CLICK HERE for Part 2

-We will be recording our Hoops HD Report Video Podcast tonight, and then Under the Radar and the Bracket Rundown tomorrow. Be sure to be on the lookout for those.

-The biggest surprise in the latest string of big surprises was Stanford’s 100-82 win over Arizona on New Year’s Eve. It was a home game, but Stanford had shown no signs of being anything other than bad, and Arizona was showing signs of being a Final Four caliber team. I guess the Wildcats just started celebrating a little too early.

-Utah downed Washington 95-90 in a hard fought game. Washington has now fallen to 8-5, and lost two straight in conference, but I’m still not ready to count them out. The losses were hard fought games on the road against Utah and Colorado, both of whom are really good (especially at home), so I think the Huskies have it in them to start stringing together wins.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-UTAH STATE AT AIR FORCE (Mountain West). It’s the MWC opener for both of these teams. Utah State is off to a very impressive 12-1 start and looks like an NCAA Tournament team, while Air Force is 7-5 and a respectable 3-1 at home. For Utah State, it’s a road game that an NCAA Tournament caliber team should be able to win, but it is still a bit of a test.

-PURDUE AT MARYLAND (Big Ten). Purdue is clearly the more accomplished team, but Maryland is an impressive 8-0 at home, and as good as Purdue is they lost their only true road game of the season so far to Northwestern, so there is something at stake for the Boilers in this one.

-NORTH CAROLINA AT PITTSBURGH (ACC). UNC is in the top ten, and rightfully so, but this is a big road test against a Pitt team that is pretty good, but who still needs to build their resume up and who can really take a big step toward doing that with a win tonight.

-WAKE FOREST AT BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC). Both teams still have work to do, but amazingly enough both teams come into this one at 9-3 and at least have a path to land inside the bubble. They both could really use this win tonight, though, which is what makes the game so compelling.

-BUTLER AT SAINT JOHN’S (Big East). Both teams are having good seasons so far, and both have shown the potential to end up as NCAA Tournament teams. Butler is looking to bounce back from an overtime loss at Providence where they just missed out on what would have been a huge win for their resume, and Saint John’s is coming off of a game where they struggled to get by Hofstra, but where they were right in there against UConn in the game before.

-NORTHWESTERN AT ILLINOIS (Big Ten). This should be a fun one. It appears to be a mismatch with Illinois being both at home and ranked in the top ten, but Northwestern has shown they can play like a top 25 caliber team, and it’s a rivalry game, so there are several reasons to watch.

-SYRACUSE AT DUKE (ACC). Syracuse is 10-3 on the season, but it’s a bit of a quiet 10-3. It will get a lot noisier if they’re somehow able to go into Cameron and upset the Blue Devils. Duke has won four straight and has also been playing very well at home.

-NEW MEXICO AT COLORADO STATE (Mountain West). This is one of the better games of the day. Both teams come into this one at 12-1 and while Colorado State is much higher in the rankings, New Mexico could pick up what would probably be their biggest win of the year so far and perhaps ride that to a top 25 ranking themselves. Both teams are likely tournament teams, and this one is a big resume building opportunity.

OTHER NOTABLE GAMES/BUY GAMES:

-DePaul @ Connecticut (Big East) – it’s a conference game, but it might as well be a buy game
-Norfolk State @ Tennessee
-East Carolina @ Florida Atlantic (American) – FAU should be able to bounce back from the surprising loss to FGCU in their last game
-Iowa @ Wisonsin (Big Ten) – Iowa has struggled all throughout this season, especially on the road. Wisky should be able to hold serve in this one
-Cornell @ Baylor – this one is somewhat intriguing because of Cornell’s 10-2 record, but it’s still a buy game and still a game that Baylor should roll through
-Chicago State @ Kansas State
-Penn @ Auburn
-Illinois State @ Drake (Missouri Valley) – Drake can get to 12-2 on the season with a win

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Tuesday, January 2nd

Belmont (9-4, 2-0) at Southern Illinois (9-4, 1-1) – 8:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day has Belmont make the trip along Interstate 24 to Carbondale, Illinois for a trip to Southern Illinois. Belmont comes into tonight having won 7 of their past 8 games; they’ve opened up play in the Valley with conference wins against Northern Iowa at home and against Valparaiso on the road. Cade Tyson averages 17.8 points a game for the Bruins.

The Salukis had rough sailing in their conference opener with a 29-point loss to Indiana State. Recently, they’ve put together a modest 3-game winning streak that includes a home win against Illinois-Chicago to improve to 1-1 in the Valley. Southern Illinois also has wins against Saint Louis and Oklahoma State in nonconference play. Xavier Johnson is averaging a whopping 24.6 points a game for the Salukis.

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Bracketology – Hoops HD Staff Bracket

This week, our colleague John Stalica will be filling out the weekly NCAA Tournament bracket on Hoops HD. This is not to be confused with the bracket that Jon Teitel does weekly where he attempts to forecast what the Selection Committee will do. This is rather more of a checkpoint bracket that John sees fit as of games played through Monday, January 1.

The bracket is as follows:

First Four Out: NC State, Boston College, Drake, Louisiana Tech

NOTES FROM JOHN:

  • Purdue’s top of the profile gives them a slight edge over Kansas and Houston for the top overall seed. Arizona’s recent losses to Florida Atlantic (in Las Vegas) and at Stanford knock the Wildcats off the top seed line for now.
  • What a difference a year makes for Clemson. They’ve cashed in on wins at Alabama and at Pittsburgh, and even home wins against South Carolina and Boise State are boosting the metrics for the Tigers. Contrast this to North Carolina who hasn’t even played a true road game yet.
  • Dayton is in a protected seed spot that typically has feen filled by Gonzaga in recent years. Today I would have actually had Gonzaga as my first 11 seed, but I had to flip them up to the 10 line and Michigan State down to the 11 line.
  • Other bracketing issues include juggling BYU in the East Region (however there’s a bug in the workbook that has the wrong dates for Spokane and Salt Lake City; I may redo the bracket once Chad fixes this). The play-in game on the 13 line had to be moved down to accomodate potential conference matchups in the 1st round. Also keep in mind that Weber State could have been placed in SLC, but Colorado State cannot be placed in a potential home court disadvantage; Weber State is about 30 miles north of Salt Lake and would effectively fill the place.

OTHER COMMENTS

Coming Soon

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Handing out the Hardware: All-conference players of 2023 (Part 2 of 2)

The end of the calendar year means that it is time to recognize the best players in college basketball during 2023. HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel has reviewed all the numbers and is ready to announce his picks for the 5 best players from each conference based on their all-around stats. Players are listed in a traditional 5-position lineup (G-G-F-F-C) whenever possible with several exceptions, plus special awards for Player of the Year So Far (POYSF). If you think that he has overlooked anyone then feel free to tweet us your comments, and if you missed the other conferences yesterday in Part 1: https://hoopshd.com/2023/12/30/handing-out-the-hardware-all-conference-players-of-2023-part-1-of-2

MAAC
G: Dakota Leffew (Mount St. Mary’s)
G: Seydou Traore (Manhattan)
G: Tre Dinkins (Canisius)
F: Mervin James (Rider)
F: Frank Mitchell (Canisius)
POYSF: Mervin James (Rider)

MAC
G: Jalin Anderson (Ball State)
G: David Coit (Northern Illinois)
G: Jaylin Hunter (Ohio)
F: Enrique Freeman (Akron)
F: Basheer Jihad (Ball State)
POYSF: Enrique Freeman (Akron)

MEAC
G: Fred Cleveland Jr. (NC Central)
G: Jamarii Thomas (Norfolk State)
G: Martaz Robinson (Delaware State)
F: Justin Winston (Coppin State)
F: Seth Towns (Howard)
POYSF: Jamarii Thomas (Norfolk State)

MVC
G: Xavier Johnson (Southern Illinois)
G: Tucker DeVries (Drake)
F: Ben Humrichous (Evansville)
F: Cade Tyson (Belmont)
C: Robbie Avila (Indiana State)
POYSF: Xavier Johnson (Southern Illinois)

MWC
G: Sam Griffin (Wyoming)
G: Isaiah Stevens (Colorado State)
G: Ethan Taylor (Air Force)
F: Great Osobor (Utah State)
F: Jaedon LeDee (San Diego State)
POYSF: Jaedon LeDee (San Diego State)

NEC
G: Melvin Council Jr. (Wagner)
G: Jordan Derkack (Merrimack)
F: Nico Galette (Sacred Heart)
F: Alex Sobel (Sacred Heart)
F: Ansley Almonor (FDU)
POYSF: Jordan Derkack (Merrimack)

OVC
G: Jordan Sears (Tennessee-Martin)
G: Khalen Robinson (Little Rock)
F: Jacob Crews (Tennessee-Martin)
F: Riley Minix (Morehead State)
F: Keenon Cole (Lindenwood)
POYSF: Jordan Sears (Tennessee-Martin)

Pac-12
G: KJ Simpson (Colorado)
G: Jaylon Tyson (Cal)
F: Fardaws Aimaq (Cal)
F: Keion Brooks Jr. (Washington)
C: Branden Carlson (Utah)
POYSF: Keion Brooks Jr. (Washington)

Patriot
G: Braeden Smith (Colgate)
G: Jack Forrest (Bucknell)
F: Matt Rogers (American)
F: Josh Scovens (Army)
C: Noah Williamson (Bucknell)
POYSF: Matt Rogers (American)

SEC
G: Wade Taylor IV (Texas A&M)
G: Mark Sears (Alabama)
G: Allen Flanigan (Ole Miss)
F: Johni Broome (Auburn)
F: Tyrese Samuel (Florida)
POYSF: Mark Sears (Alabama)

SoCon
G: Honor Huff (Chattanooga)
G: Vonterius Woolbright (Western Carolina)
G: JP Pegues (Furman)
F: Mikeal Brown-Jones (UNC-Greensboro)
F: Jalyn McCreary (Mercer)
POYSF: Vonterius Woolbright (Western Carolina)

Southland
G: Shahada Wells (McNeese State)
G: Jordan Johnson (New Orleans)
F: Jamal West Jr. (Nicholls State)
F: Sky Wicks (Incarnate Word)
C: Adam Hamilton (Lamar)
POYSF: Jordan Johnson (New Orleans)

SWAC
G: Rashad Williams (AR-Pine Bluff)
G: Zion Harmon (Bethune-Cookman)
G: Ken Evans Jr. (Jackson State)
F: Jeremiah Kendall (Alcorn State)
F: Keith Lamar (Florida A&M)
POYSF: Rashad Williams (AR-Pine Bluff)

Summit
G: Tommy Bruner (Denver)
G: Zeke Mayo (South Dakota State)
F: Frankie Fidler (Omaha)
F: Lahat Thioune (South Dakota)
F: Touko Tainamo (Denver)
POYSF: Tommy Bruner (Denver)

Sun Belt
G: Terrence Edwards (James Madison)
G: Christyon Eugene (Troy)
G: Austin Crowley (Southern Miss)
F: Obinna Anochili-Killen (Marshall)
F: TJ Bickerstaff (James Madison)
POYSF: Terrence Edwards (James Madison)

WCC
G: Adama Bal (Santa Clara)
G: Michael Ajayi (Pepperdine)
F: Tyler Robertson (Portland)
F: Jonathan Mogbo (San Francisco)
C: Mitchell Saxen (St. Mary’s)
POYSF: Michael Ajayi (Pepperdine)

WAC
G: Tyon Grant-Foster (Grand Canyon)
G: Hasan Abdul-Hakim (UTRGV)
G: Ray Harrison (Grand Canyon)
F: Shemar Wilson (UT-Arlington)
F: Parsa Fallah (Southern Utah)
POYSF: Tyon Grant-Foster (Grand Canyon)

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Dec 31st and Monday, Jan 1st (New Years Edition!!)

NEWS AND NOTES:

For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

For the first half of Jon Teitel’s Mid-Season Conference Awards – CLICK HERE

-Florida Atlantic is a really good team….but only when they’re really good. I can’t recall an incident where a team was ranked in the top ten and coming off a win against a top five opponent, and then followed it up with a loss to a UTR team that’s just 3-9 against div1 opponents. But, that’s just what they did. They went on the road to FGCU and were pretty much behind for the entire game before losing 72-68. FAU’s wins now include Arizona in one of the most exciting games of the year, and their losses now include Bryant and Florida Gulf Coast. The two teams were close to 250 spots apart in the NET, which will easily put it in the running for the biggest upset of the year in terms of how far apart the two teams are.

-Marquette got a huge battle from Creighton as you would expect, but held on to win 72-67. I said before the season that I thought Creighton was good enough to make it to the Final Four, and have said during the season that I thought Marquette was that good as well well. Creighton has fallen to 9-4 on the year, and 0-2 in Big East play, but I still don’t think there is a reason to panic. They’ll win a lot of games if they keep playing the way they did yesterday.

-Florida State fell at home to Lipscomb 78-75, and what once looked like an NCAA Tournament team has now lost four of their last six and looks nothing like it now. The football team also had a rough day. Florida State has seen better days.

-Michigan State got a battle from Indiana State, and it was tied with under 10 minutes to go, but they were able to pull away down the stretch and get the 87-75 win. Indiana State isn’t a protected seed caliber team, but I definitely think they’re an NCAA Tournament caliber team and that Sparty deserves some credit for beating them.

-Princeton got a huge scare on the road at Delaware as they were outscored 55-41 in the second half, but held on to win 84-82, which gives them yet another win away from home and will help keep them inside the bubble (for now).

-It was a bit of a rock fight, but Saint Bonaventure survived against Akron 62-61 in the Legends of Basketball Showcase, which is at least a semi-decent win away from home and improves the Bonnies to a respectable 9-3 on the year. They still have some work to do, and have a very small margin for error, but they’re at least a team to keep an eye on as we head into the new year.

-UCLA continues to play competitively, but not win. After yesterday’s 64-59 loss at Oregon the Bruins are now just 6-7 overall on the season.

-Ohio State got a big scare from a pretty weak West Virginia team, but survived in overtime 78-75 to improve to 11-2 on the year.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES (Sunday, Dec 31st):

-WASHINGTON STATE AT COLORADO (Pac 12). Wazzu had a decent start to the season, but had a really rough night against Utah the other night and may be in for an even tougher time tonight. The Buffs are a top 25 caliber team despite not being currently ranked, and are exceptionally tough to beat at home.

-WASHINGTON AT UTAH (Pac 12). It was a tall order for Washington to open league play with the Colorado/Utah road trip. They battled the other night and came up short, and even if they come up short again tonight I still think they’re good enough to end up inside the bubble. Utah is another Pac 12 team that isn’t in the top 25, but probably should be. They’ve now won seven in a row and are unbeaten at home this year.

-Monmouth @ Oklahoma
-Bethune Cookman @ Mississippi State
-Arizona @ Stanford (Pac 12) – it’s a conference road game, but Arizona is battle tested and should be able to get this one without too much trouble
-Bryant @ Ole Miss – Bryant isn’t bad, so Ole Miss better not overlook them

(Sort of) HIGHLIGHTED GAMES (Monday, Jan 1st):

-UT Arlington @ Texas
-North Alabama @ Texas Tech
-TAMU Commerse @ TCU

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