The following Bracket is John Stalica’s personal bracket. No attempt is being made to guess the actual committee. He is merely portraying the field the way he thinks it should be. To see Jon Teitel’s Bracket Projections, which do attempt to guess the committee – CLICK HERE
JOHN’S NOTES
– As David Griggs explained earlier, this bracket represents my own view as to what the bracket would look like as of today; part of the bracket is a checkpoint based on current play and part of it is the dreaded “eye test.”
– With most of the teams in the country now saddled with at least one loss, Virginia and Xavier trade seed lines this week. The Villanova win looks bigger for the Hoos along with the Sooners who beat Villanova in Hawai’i last month. Edmond Sumner’s injury will be taken into account during the year, but what is paramount is that Xavier won a big game at home against Butler without Sumner. This is in contrast to a team like Wichita State – the Shockers are back in the field this week, but they’re also in an auto-bid situation right now.
– Bracketing rules did not allow for Kentucky to be in the South Region this week; it also forced Duke to be shipped out to Spokane. As for seed line shifts, Seton Hall was bumped up to a 9 and Notre Dame down to a 10 in one instance; Washington moved up to a 10 and Monmouth down to an 11.
– Wait a minute, you said Washington? While they split games with Texas outside of the United States, they opened Pac-12 play with a splash with wins over UCLA and USC (a 22-point comeback against the Trojans). The Huskies did lose a stinker at home against UC-Santa Barbara, though.
– I did not want to include Texas Tech in the field due to the Red Raiders not playing a true road game yet, but I cannot ignore their notable wins so far – namely Little Rock, South Dakota State, Richmond and Texas.
I will now yield the floor to Mr. Chad Sherwood from New Jersey and Mr. David Griggs from his palatial couch.
-My first 4 teams out of the field – Colorado, Florida State, UCLA and Oregon State.
COMMENTS FROM DAVID
-My biggest gripe is Monmouth. John isn’t the only problem, but he’s definitely part of the problem. Our Selection Committee guessing expert Jon Teitel is projecting that the committee would put Monmouth on the #12 line, and John Stalica is putting them on his personal #11 line. When a team has won nine games, and were staying in a hotel for eight of them, how in the hell is that not more impressive?? We’re not talking about a trip to Disney World either. Well, okay, maybe we “literally” are since some of those wins came in Disney World, but definitely not “figuratively.” They’ve beaten Notre Dame and USC. They’re the only team that’s won at UCLA, and they also have a win at Georgetown. Losing on the road to Army and Canisius are games they should win, but when a team plays THAT many games on the road, a few losses should be forgivable. Had they played those games at home they’d probably win them. I can’t help but think the only reason Monmouth isn’t getting more respect is because of a presumption people have of them. They’re not a #5 seed. They’re Monmouth. It’s too bad their jerseys don’t say something else.
-Gonzaga is one of many teams that John likes more than Monmouth, and that the real committee will probably like more than Monmouth as well, but that hasn’t done anywhere close to as much as Monmouth, and had to sweat out an overtime win against San Francisco. I could see Gonzaga having a tough rest of the year now that they’re without their big man.
-Many people probably feel Oregon belongs on the #6 line, which is where John has them. I value road wins a lot more than most people, I guess. I think it’s harder to beat an NIT team on the road than it is to beat a tournament team at home. Oregon has been pitiful away from home. Until they can at least beat an NIT caliber team in a true road game, I can’t look at them as a team that belongs on the first ballot.
-If North Carolina wins at Florida State tonight, then I’ll feel like they belong on the #3 line. But, as of now, their next true road win will be their first.
COMMENTS FROM CHAD
– I don’t have much to add this week that David did not already say. One thing I do notice is Oklahoma being sent to Anaheim, meaning that they would presumably be the fourth 1 seed on the S-Curve. I personally would have them #1 overall and in the South Region. Although I know that Michigan State did not have Valentine when they lost this week, I cannot overlook the loss when it comes down to deciding the ranking of the top handful of teams.
The Hoops HD Report: January 4th
Chad and the panel once again run through all of the major conferences.
This week they start off in the Big Ten and talk about how good Iowa has looked, and how Indiana and Ohio State appear to be improving.
In the ACC they talk about North Carolina’s big road win against Florida State, which is their first true road win of the year and FSU’s first home loss of the year. They also talk about how good Virginia has looked.
The Big East has three teams that look like they’re capable of earning protected seeds in Villanova, Butler, and Xavier despite Butler’s rough 0-2 start. They also talk about how impressive Seton Hall has looked, and discuss whether or not Georgetown can get things turned around.
The Big Twelve also has three strong teams, each of whom could compete for #1 seeds in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Iowa State. Baylor has been somewhat disappointing, but Texas Tech has been better than expected.
UCLA is out to a rough start in the Big Twelve, and Arizona still looks like the class of the league. Kentucky still looks like the class of the SEC, and Saint Joseph’s has been better than expected in the Atlantic Ten. All that, and much more….
And for all you radio lovers, below is an mp3 version of the show….