Under the Radar Game of the Day – Tuesday January 6, 2015: South Carolina Upstate at UMKC

South Carolina Upstate at UMKC, 8:00 PM Eastern, free streaming at wacsports.com

The UTR Game of the Day heads to Kansas City, Missouri tonight for a non-conference matchup between the WAC’s UMKC ‘roos and the A-Sun’s South Carolina Upstate Spartans.  With January here, non-conference games are getting sparse, and tonight’s game is the final such tilt for both teams before starting conference play this weekend (with the sole exception of Upstate’s scheduled game against a non-D1 team on February 3).

UMKC enters tonight’s game with a 5-11 record, and only 3 of those wins being against D1 competition.  The first of those wins was a huge one though, as the ‘roos won at Mizzou, 69-61, on the season’s opening night back in November.  Sophomore Martez Harrison is the player to watch for the ‘roos, having scored in double digits every game so far, including lighting up Indiana State for 34 in one of their other wins.

South Carolina Upstate has been showing that they intend to contend in the Atlantic Sun this season, as they enter tonight’s game with an 11-4 record and (narrowly over Florida Gulf Coast) the best KenPom Rating in the conference.  Most notably, the Spartans won at Georgia Tech on December 6.  They have also picked up a win over an SEC team, albeit Mississippi State.  A pair of seniors are the standout players this season for the Spartans, Ty Greene and Fred Miller.  Greene had a great game last time out, scoring 26 against Hampton.  He will need to have another strong game tonight for the Spartans if they want to head into conference play coming off of a road victory in Kansas City.

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Bracket Projections: January 5th

Chad Sherwood built the following bracket….

 

For our latest Bracket Racket: CLICK HERE

BRACKET NOTES

– This is the bracket through games of Sunday, January 4, 2015.  For the most part, this bracket is based on how teams have performed to date.  No projections are made as to the outcomes of future games, other than the team that has the best resume to date in each conference is deemed to be the automatic bid winner (even if they do not currently have the best record in the conference).  Honestly, I have ever been able to figure out why so-called “Bracketologists” that claim they know everything about college hoops simply choose the first place teams from each conference for the automatic bid winner — are they too lazy to take 2 minutes and figure out which team is in fact the best on the league, and thus the team most likely to receive its automatic bid?  With so many conferences having unbalanced league schedules, conference record (especially this early in the season) is an almost a meaningless stat and should never be the criteria for projecting a field.

– The ACC ended up leading the way with 8 bids, followed by the Big 12 with 7 and the Big East with 6.

– Oregon is on the 12 seed line while the NC State/UNLV play-in game is on the 11 line.  This was done because of bracketing problems resulting from BYU being in the First Four and the requirement that at least one of the two at-large vs at-large First Four games go to a Friday-Sunday site.  Since that couldn’t be the BYU game, and I don’t believe the committee would send a First Four winner all the way out to Seattle, the only choice left was to move them up to the 11 line and drop Oregon down.  In addition, NC State got UNLV instead of Xavier due to a shift among the First Four teams because the committee would not repeat the same matchup from last season’s First Four.

– The SEC getting four teams in, all above the First Four, kind of shocked me at first, but Arkansas has a good profile, LSU has a very good win at West Virginia and South Carolina now has a very good neutral court win over Iowa State.  None of the these teams has any awful losses on their profiles, which made them better than the rest of the teams being evaluated at the bottom of the field.

– NC State, Xavier, BYU and UNLV were the last four teams in.  None of them truly deserve a bid, but again they were better than anyone else for now.  UNLV’s resume is particularly weak, but at this point in the season one big win can propel a team into a bracket projection, and they definitely have that with the win over Arizona.

– In no particular order, the next seven teams out were Cincinnati, Georgia Tech, TCU, Providence, Minnesota, UTEP and Georgia.  In fact, Providence was the very last team left out, and it was a very close call between the Friars and UNLV.

– As always, I love to see some of the matchups created here purely by application of the bracketing rules.  The 8/9 games between Temple-Syracuse and George Washington-Georgetown are particularly appealing.  Also, Kentucky and Louisville being the top two seeds in the Midwest Region with a chance to meet again is interesting..though we know how painful those games can be to watch.

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Highlighted Games for Monday, Jan 5th

For the most recent edition of the Bracket Racket Podcast – CLICK HERE

For Chad Sherwood’s UTR game of the night – CLICK HERE

For the latest Bracket Projection – CLICK HERE

 

TONIGHT’S HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-NOTRE DAME AT NORTH CAROLINA (ACC).  Notre Dame has a bloated record and has looked pretty good, but this is by far their toughest test of the year up to this point.  Both teams are in the rankings, and both appear to be tournament bound, so it’s a chance to add a quality conference win to the profile.

-WEST VIRGINIA AT TEXAS TECH (Big Twelve).  WVA has been impressive this year.  It’s never easy to win on the road, and although this won’t be either, it is still one of their more winnable conference road games.

-TEXAS STATE AT GEORGIA STATE (Sun Belt).  If Georgia State wins out they may have a shot at landing inside the bubble, but anything short of that and they’re likely needing the automatic bid.

-INDIANA AT MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten).  Indiana has looked more impressive than expected so far, and Michigan State has been more disappointing than expected.  It’s a big game for both teams.

-WRIGHT STATE AT GREEN BAY (Horizon League).  Green Bay has a shot at an at-large if they win out, but anything short of that and they’ll really be cutting it close.

-OKLAHOMA AT TEXAS (Big Twelve).  This is the first edition of the Red River Shootout.  It’s a conference rivalry between two ranked teams, so it should be fun.

-NEBRASKA AT IOWA (Big Ten).  Iowa is having a much better year than expected, and Nebraska is doing much worse.  Nebraska has not looked like an NCAA Tournament team at any point this year, and they need a win like this to turn things around.  Iowa, on the other hand, has looked very good.

-SELA AT SFA (Southland).  Even winning out for SFA may not be enough, but they should at least get a look if they run the table in league play.

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Monday, January 5 , 2014: Texas Southern at Southern

For the latest Bracket Racket, CLICK HERE.

Texas Southern at Southern, 9:00 PM Eastern, ESPNU

It must be January, as tonight kicks off ESPN’s BIG MONDAY coverage (though with a break next week for the football championship game).  There was a time when Big Monday meant a tripleheader of Big East, Big Ten and Big West basketball.  Then conference realignment and new television deals came along, and now it is an ACC-Big 12 doubleheader on ESPN, and a pair of games on ESPNU normally from the MEAC and/or SWAC.  Tonight’s ESPNU coverage begins with West Virginia at Texas Tech, then swings down to Baton Rouge, Louisiana as Texas Southern takes on Southern University in our UTR Game of the Day.

The problems at Southern U. were well documented on this site last season, as all of their APR data for about a ten year stretch was deemed unusable by the NCAA for pretty much all sports.  The entire athletic program was therefore banned from any postseason play last year.  As the school was never able to reconstruct its data, heading into this season the Jaguars do not have a full four years of APR data to use.  The NCAA utilizes a four year average score, and with a couple of 0’s in for the unusable years, Southern’s APR this season is 489 when it needs to be over 930.  Southern is ineligible again this season and unless the NCAA gives the school some sort of waiver, they are probably looking at receiving at least one more year on the postseason ban list after this one.

The Southern Jaguars enter tonight’s game at 4-11 overall and 1-0 in SWAC.  Their three wins outside of the SWAC were all over non-D1 competition.  Tonight’s opponent only has 4 wins as well, sitting at 4-10 and 1-0 in the SWAC.  However, their three non-SWAC wins were all against D1 opponents — Lamar, Michigan State and Kansas State.  Mike Davis’ Texas Southern Tigers pulled perhaps the biggest upset we have seen in years by heading into East Lansing, Michigan on December 20 and coming out with a six point overtime victory over Tom Izzo’s Spartans.  The Tigers followed that up eight days later with a win over Bruce Weber’s Kansas State Wildcats.  While the Tigers have lost ten games this year, all of their losses have come away from home against some pretty tough competition (Indiana, Gonzaga, Florida, SMU, and Baylor to just name a few).  As a result, despite being six games under .500, Texas Southern holds the best RPI, BPI and KenPom ratings by far in the SWAC and stands out right now as the clear favorite to win the conference.  In fact, with their two big non-conference wins, the Tigers may even have a shot at being the first SWAC team since 1999 to be seeded higher than the 16 line in the NCAA tournament!

As a final note, with Big Monday kicking off tonight, we would be remiss if we did not take a look back at the greatest advertising campaign in the history of ESPN’s college basketball coverage.  Take it away, Mr. Goulet:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B7eFWUAAFT0

 

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Bracket Racket: January 4th

Tonight’s show is audio only folks.  Joby and David go through each of the multi-bid leagues (Big Ten, Big Twelve, ACC, SEC, AAC, Atlantic Ten, Mountain West, Pac Twelve, Big East, West Coast, Conference USA and Missouri Valley and highlight the teams that they feel have shown they can land in the NCAA Tournament, as well as which teams have been surprising, and which have been disappointments.  They also preview this week’s upcoming action and talk about what games they feel are important and what kind of impact they could have on the NCAA Tournament.

All that, and more…

 

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Highlighted Games for Sunday, Jan 4th

For Chad Sherwood’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-UCF AT TEMPLE (American).  Temple has been one of the bigger surprises this year with some notable wins, and looks to be one of the better teams in the AAC.

-VCU AT FORDHAM (Atlantic Ten).  Fordham is a respectable 5-2 at home, but this is still the kind of game VCU cannot afford to lose.

-OLD DOMINION AT CHARLOTTE (Conference USA).  ODU is off to a tremendous start and looks to be playing like a top 25 team.  Having said that, this is only their second true road game, and it’s the kind of game that a tournament team is expected to win.

-EVANSVILLE AT INDIANA STATE (Missouri Valley).  Evansville is coming off their huge win against Northern Iowa, but does not want to negate that by not picking up a road win at Indiana State.

-USC AT COLORADO (Pac Twelve).  Neither team is anywhere close to the bubble right now.  The only reason we mention this game is because we’re holding out hope that Colorado may be good enough to turn it around.

-LOYOLA IL AT NORTHERN IOWA.  Both teams are a very impressive 11-2, but Loyola’s wins have not been all that notable.  If they some how pull this one off that would change everything, though.

-UTEP AT RICE (Conference USA).  UTEP is a good team with a very small margin for error.  They can barely afford any slip ups in league play.

-UCLA AT UTAH (Pac Twelve).  UCLA has underachieved and Utah has been very impressive so far.  I don’t expect the Utes to have too much trouble.

-UNLV AT KANSAS.  UNLV has looked good, and Kansas has looked really good this year.  It’s a chance for both to add a quality win to their resume.

-ILLINOIS STATE AT WICHITA STATE (Missouri Valley).  Wichita State struggled against Drake in their conference opener.  They’re at home today against an Illinois State team that is inconsistent.  I guess that’s better than being consistently bad.

-WASHINGTON STATE AT CALIFORNIA (Pac Twelve).  Cal got a big win against Washington in their conference opener, and shouldn’t have too much trouble against Wazzu today.

-ARIZONA STATE AT ARIZONA (Pac Twelve).  Big rivalry game here, but this edition appears to also be a big mismatch, especially with Arizona at home.  Arizona State has some work to do just to make it inside the bubble, and Arizona is looking like a potential #1 seed.

-WISCONSIN AT NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten).  Northwestern is 10-4, but they’ve done that against a weak schedule.  Wisconsin has just one loss, and has looked very strong all year long.

-LOUISVILLE AT WAKE FOREST (ACC).  This should be one of the more winnable conference road games for Louisville.

-WASHINGTON AT STANFORD (Pac Twelve).  Washington is coming off their first loss of the season, and has another tough road game today against a pretty good Stanford team.

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