CIT Game of the Day – March 20

The CIT Game of the Day presents:  The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly.

Tonight’s feature game comes from the Windy City as Chicago State travels cross-town to battle the Flames of Illinois-Chicago.  UIC is out of the Horizon League where they put together a 17-15 season and tied for fifth place in their conference.  But UIC is not the reason this game is featured.  UIC is taking on a team that went 11-21 on the season but captured the sole automatic bid to the CIT, Great West Conference tournament champion Chicago State.

THE GOOD:  Chicago State had never won a conference tournament before their Great West championship this season.  The Cougars had never played in a postseason tournament.  The team wasn’t even eligible for postseason play last season when they received a ban due to poor APRs.  But the school has turned things around, advancing to the postseason and posting perfect APRs to regain their eligibility.  Next season, Chicago State, a school that was more or less thrown out of the Summit League a few years ago, will move on to the WAC and be able to take a shot at advancing to even bigger postseason tournaments.

THE BAD: Maybe this is more the Sad than the Bad, but barring an upset victory by Chicago State tonight, this will be the final men’s basketball game ever played by a team from the Great West Conference.  As we documented several times this season, the Great West will cease to exist after this year.  The conference never produced a team that even sniffed at an NCAA tournament bid, but did produce some exciting games and exciting conference tournaments during its short existence.

THE UGLY:  Chicago State enters tonight’s game at 11-21 overall.  That is a .344 winning percentage on the year.  In the entire history of Division I men’s basketball, prior to this season, the worst winning percentage for a team playing in postseason was 1996 Central Florida’s NCAA tournament team that had a .357 winning percentage.  In other words, the record books need to be opened tonight as Chicago State becomes the worst team (in terms of winning percentage) ever to play in the postseason.

History will be made tonight in Chicago.  If you are actually interested in seeing it, or any of the other CIT games on tap for night, here is the schedule:

Fairfield (19-15) @ Kent State (20-13) 7:00 pm
Elon (21-11) @ Canisius (18-13) 7:00 pm
North Dakota (16-16) @ Northern Iowa (18-14) 8:00 pm
Green Bay (18-15) @ Bradley (16-16) 8:00 pm
South Alabama (17-12) @ Tulane (19-14) 8:00 pm
Chicago State (11-21) @ Illinois-Chicago (17-15) 8:00 pm
Oral Roberts (18-14) @ UT Arlington (19-13) 8:30 pm
Cal Poly (18-13) @ Weber State (26-6) 9:00 pm
High Point (17-13) @ UC Irvine (20-15) 10:30 pm
Air Force (17-13) @ Hawaii (17-14) 12:00 am

All times are Eastern at all games are streamed live at watchcollegeinsider.com.

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CIT Game of the Day – March 19

Brought to you by the Makers of the SCGD, welcome to the first ever installment of the CIT Game of the Day!

The CIT (CollegeInsiders.com Tournament) is a 32 team postseason college basketball tournament for schools that meet certain criteria.  In order to qualify, you must have not been selected to one of the three other tournaments (NCAA, NIT, and CBI), must not play in one of the power conferences (currently the ACC, Big East, Big 12, Big Ten, Pac Twelve and SEC), and must have an overall record of .500 or better.  Games against non-D1 competition do count towards qualification for the CIT.  The only exception to the .500 rule is in the event the single automatic bid winner is under .500.  The CIT gives an automatic bid to the Great West Conference tournament champion in the event that team is not selected for the NCAA or NIT.  (This is the final year of the automatic bid as the Great West will cease to exist after this season).

The CIT plays all games on campus sites.  It also does not use a set bracket.  Rather, after each round of play, the tournament organizers set the following round’s matchups.

Tonight, 6 of the 16 first round games will be played.  The schedule is as follows:

Eastern Kentucky (24-9) @ Gardner Webb (21-12) 7:00 pm
Savannah State (19-14) @ East Carolina (18-12) 7:00 pm
Rider (18-14) @ Hartford (17-13) 7:00 pm
Oakland (16-16) @ Youngstown State (17-15) 7:05 pm
Boston University (17-12) @ Loyola MD (21-11) 7:30 pm
Tennessee State (18-14) @ Evansville (18-14) 8:00 pm

All times are Eastern and all games are streamed live at watchcollegeinsider.com.

Tonight’s featured games is the 7:00 PM tipoff in West Hartford, Connecticut between the Rider Broncs out of the Metro Atlantic and the Hartford Hawks of the America East.  Rider finished tied for second place in the MAAC, but was upset in the quarterfinals of the conference tournament by Fairfield.  Hartford finished in fourth place in the America East, but received the #3 seed in the conference tournament due to Boston University being ineligible for the conference’s automatic NCAA bid.  Hartford was also upset in their quarterfinals, going down to 6th seeded UMBC.

Tonight’s game will feature the first ever postseason Division I game for the Hartford men’s basketball program, after 28 seasons as a D1 school.  A win tonight will also give them their 18th victory of the season, tying their best D1 performance ever.  Finally, it would double their win total from last year, when they only managed 9 victories.  Rider, on the other hand, is trying to bounce back from their conference tournament upset.  They had won five game in a row to close the regular season before Fairfield knocked them off.  The CIT will give both teams a chance to end the season on more positive notes than the sour taste of conference tournament upsets.

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HOOPS HD FINAL BRACKET PROJECTIONS: Selection Sunday, March 17th

68 TEAMS REMAIN!!! The Big Ten Championship game will have no impact on what we think the final bracket will look like. The link is below.

http://www.crimsoncast.com/2013/03/bracket-report-final-edition/

 

NOTES

-We think Indiana is more accomplished than Louisville. They won at Michigan, at Michigan State and at Ohio State. Louisville doesn’t have one win as good as that away from home, let alone three. I can see them giving the #1 overall to Louisville and sending them to Indianapolis instead of Indiana simply because Louisville finished first in the Big East and won the conference tournament. They went for the double, so to speak, and the committee has valued that in the past.

-We think Kansas has a far better team than both Duke and Miami, FL. However, profile wise, Duke’s is very good. Miami finished ahead of them, and beat them during the year, and won at NC State and Maryland, which are two places Duke didn’t win, and then went for the double when they won the conference tournament. It’s not unanimous, but the consensus was that we just don’t think they can justify putting Duke ahead of Miami, although I wouldn’t be surprised to see Kansas ahead of both. They can only take one, though, and I’m guessing it will be Miami.

-Tennessee would have been the last team in, but we took them out when Ole Miss won the SEC.  La Salle was another team we were undecided on, but decided the committee wouldn’t value them as much.

-We think Middle Tennessee is a solid selection as an outright first place finisher with a solid RPI. Boise has a good profile, and is looks pretty good on the court as well.

-We’re not a huge fan of Saint Mary’s, but after looking at them closely I can see the committee valuing their road record, and they did beat Creighton and had a win against BYU on the road, who isn’t a tournament team, but is tough to beat at home.

-Kentucky is a very tough call. They were the last team in. They do have the injury, but two of their best wins came after they lost Noel. Most of their good wins came at home against teams that did not play well on the road, but we just had a feeling the committee would give them credit for those anyway. I will not be disappointed if they’re left out. I’d like to see La Salle in instead, but we just have a feeling that the committee will take them.

-North Carolina is grossly overseeded in this projection. We just have a feeling that the committee will overvalue them.

Projections are just that. Projections. I’m not a fortune teller. There is no science to it. If you look at all the people that project brackets, and there are a few hundred people who do this, not one of them was ever actually on the selection committee. They’ll be the first ones to tell you that it just can’t be predicted. It’s not a science. It’s a subjective process that’s done by a committee. If you’ve ever been on any sort of committee before, you know that there is nothing scientific about how they work.

Good luck to your teams!!!

Griggs

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On the 12th Day of Conference Tourneys, the Buffet gave to me…

Does the Buffet rank?

Last Stand for Waiting Liners…

WAC: A tire fire

Big Conference Kick Offs

Buffet v Experts

Mo’ of Momo

A wealth of auto bidding

Top Seeded Carnage

Scanning the scene

Huge Buffet

Killer Top Seeds

Ok, Readership… here we are. The Final Buffetology before predictions are meaningless, and the actual bracket matters.  With the Ole Miss SEC tournament championship, seems like it is coming down to Middle Tenneseee, La Salle, Kentucky and Tenessee for 2 spots. The Buffet sees it as a Tennessee sweep, we waffled on Kentucky, because, well they are Kentucky and having them in Dayton could mean big ratings for Tru.  But Kentucky lost to Tennessee without Noel by 30, and Kentucky got their best wins without Noel, but those wins are only as good as Tennesse’s best, and then Tenn has the big NC over Wichita St, 2 more road/neutral wins and only 1 more loss overall against a tougher schedule – now KenPom and the BPI like Kentucky better, but that 30 point loss without Noel really sticks with us.  If we’re wrong, we’re guessing that’s where….

Here it comes, and don’t forget to check out http://bracketproject.50webs.com/rankings.html later tonight to see how we stacked up (unless, we did poorly, then don’t check it) under abbrevation: HHD

Last 4:
Kentucky

La Salle

Maryland

Virginia

If you are still counting:

UMass

Charlotte 

The ball is tipped
and there you are
you’re running for your life
you’re a shooting star
And all the years
no one knows
just how hard you worked
but now it shows…
(in) ONE SHINING MOMENT, IT’S ALL ON THE LINE
ONE SHINING MOMENT, THERE FROZEN IN TIME

But time is short
and the road is long
in the blinking of an eye
ah that moment’s gone
And when it’s done
win or lose
you always did your best
cuz inside you knew…
(that) ONE SHINING MOMENT, YOU REACHED DEEP INSIDE
ONE SHINING MOMENT, YOU KNEW YOU WERE ALIVE

Feel the beat of your heart
feel the wind in your face
it’s more than a contest
it’s more than a race…

And when it’s done
win or lose
you always did your best
cuz inside you knew…
(that) ONE SHINING MOMENT, YOU REACHED FOR THE SKY
ONE SHINING MOMENT, YOU KNEW
ONE SHINING MOMENT, YOU WERE WILLING TO TRY
ONE SHINING MOMENT….

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Conference Tournament Viewing Guide – March 17, 2013

Here is the list of conference tournament games on the schedule for today.

(all times are eastern)

Sunday, March 17

ACC Championship:
1:00 PM – (1) Miami vs (3) North Carolina, ESPN

Atlantic Ten Championship:
1:00 PM – (1) Saint Louis vs (3) Virginia Commonwealth, CBS

Big Ten Championship:
3:30 PM – (2) Ohio State vs (5) Wisconsin, CBS

SEC Championship:
1:00 PM – (1) Florida vs (3) Mississippi, ABC

NCAA Tournament Selection Show:
6:00 PM, CBS

NIT Tournament Selection Show:
9:00 PM, ESPNU

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On the 11th Day of Conference Tourneys, the Buffet Gave to Me…

Last Stand for Waiting Liners…

WAC: A tire fire

Big Conference Kick Offs

Buffet v Experts

Mo’ of Momo

A wealth of auto bidding

Top Seeded Carnage

Scanning the scene

Huge Buffet

Killer Top Seeds

An extra day of conference tourneys…

This one goes to ELEVEN.  Well, Readership, here we are the final day of true wall to wall hoops until the 2 days of basketball madness that has everyone glued to their televisions, computers, mobile devices, and (where it’s legal, of course) their sports book accounts.  We’ve got conference tournament championships all day long, including Southern Miss trying to take decision-making out of the hands of the committee, a battle for Kansas supremacy and settling the “Who is the 2013 Big12 champ” question once and for all, a sneaky powerful game in Vegas, and a couple of teams who won’t even be in the Big East next year, playing for the BET title.  Big Ten lets us revel in 2 more of their games, and the storyline of the day, for the Buffet, Bob Thomason, after 25 years at Pacific, is retiring, and tonight, versus UCI, tries to cap his career with a NCAA tournament automatic bid exclamation point.

We get mail…

Dear Buffet,
Please give us your take on the effect of last night’s PAC game between the cats and bruins.  Will the bruins lose tourney ranking with a win since they lost Jordan Adams?  Will the cats still be a 4 seed since there was clearly a zebra conspiracy in effect?
Thanks,
Unbiased in Phoenix

Unbiased – Right now, UCLA hasn’t had a huge seed downgrade due to Adams’ injury.  We moved then down to 7 instead of the 5/6 range, but if they go on to win the Pac12 tourney, we will actually move them up 1-2 seed lines, because we don’t see a team getting punished by an injury they haven’t shown to affect them.  Think Kenyon Martin when broke his leg just into game 1 of the C-USA tournament, and UC still got a #2 seed, now UCLA would have a tournament final win to show the committee, if they get blown out, an 8 seed could be their destiny…

Before we Scan the Scene, let’s get you all to the last version of the Buffet.

Waiting Line… teams in:

Colorado

Boise State

Tennessee

La Salle

Oklahoma

Kentucky

Middle Tennessee

*Notes: Illinois is probably a seed or two lower than they will end up, for this version, they needed to be sent to 8/9 to avoid breaking some seeding rules, but they should shake up a bit in the final version.

Same with Villanova, who we like on the 9 line.

Memphis we actually moved for seeding rules, but after an undefeated CUSA run capped by an tournament title, 7 seems right.

Yes, for you visual purists, we know So Dakota State got cut off, it happens, but also if you know to complain, you know what school that is – not mention, if you’re a visual purist, you should’ve given up on the Buffet long ago, since we fired our Editor before we published our first Buffet 9 years ago…

Now onto the Waiting Line… teams not listed: 

Last 4 Out

Ole Miss

St. Mary’s

Southern Miss

Maryland

 

Rest still being considered:

Massachusetts

Baylor

Alabama

Charlotte

 

Ole Miss beat Vandy by 12 – this will be real battle royal for the Buffet: Kentucky, Tennessee, Ole Miss, MTSU, Southern Miss, La Salle and Oklahoma for 4 spots.

Maryland is gave it a ride, but we fear they fell one win short (either that blown 17 point lead against Virginia or today)

Southern Miss did everything you could in one last game without winning the tournament, will it be enough? It wasn’t as of this press time, but we will give another deep look before the final bracket is published

UMass staying relevant, somehow, if they are, that is, by hanging with VCU, lose, though, and that dream is over

Alabama was beaten handily by Florida, which should put that one to rest.

No other team under consideration is still going; they’ll have to go on their own (current) merits, whatever those may/may not be.

Scanning the Scene…

ACC: Miami used a 10 point to remind people they were once a top contender for the #1 overall seed, too late? We’ll see if they win the ACC tournament.

Maryland, whose win over Duke launched to the head of the Waiting Line… might be out of chances, down 11 to UNC with 14 minutes left.

America East:  Albany Great Danes, 2012 America East Champions, mounted a great late comeback on Vermont’s home floor (after the first few rounds last week were on theirs) and won 53-49.

Atlantic 10: Saint Louis likes impressing the Buffet; they advanced to the A10 tournament final with a 67-56 win over Butler, whose seed, despite some great non-conference work, appears to be sliding.

VCU leads UMass, who just wants to stay in the discussion, 35-34

Atlantic Sun: Florida Gulf Coast, Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament champion.

Big 12: SUNFLOWER SHOWDOWN! Yeah, we got to do something about that name.  I think the moratorium on “shootouts” as a label for college sports rivalries might be needed, just to do something tougher with Sunflower.  Kansas State v. Kansas, 3pm PT, ESPN/WATCH

Big East:  As noted – Syracuse v. Louisville, 530pm, ESPN/WATCH

Big Sky: Weber State and Montana, settle things, at 6pm tonight, ESPNU/WATCH

Big South: Liberty Flames, 2013 Big South Conference Tournament champion.

Big Ten: Wisconsin continued their mysterious mastery of Indiana, perhaps costing Indiana the chance to be in Indianapolis for their region, but shouldn’t do anything to their #1.  Also, Wisconsin is in range to take a seed jump.

Michigan State and Ohio State engaging in another developing Big 10 classic, on CBS – at halftime.

Big West: The Bob Thomason retirement party continues! A last second put back by Travis Fulton (literally under a second) lifted Pacific to a win over Cal Poly and a date with UC-Irvine, who upset Long Beach, in tonight’s championship game.  730pm tonight – ESPN2/WATCH

Colonial:  James Madison 2013 Colonial Athletic Association champion.

C-USA: Early this morning (afternoon, depending on your location) Memphis and Southern Miss played a classic, 2OT, well, it was fun to watch, the free throw shooting, late flagrant, and disappearance of the Golden Eagles in the second overtime wasn’t so classic, but the undefeated 2012-13 conference run is complete – Memphis Tigers, 2013 Conference USA Champions. 

Now, as for Southern Miss – they are still out, but close, we will do a longer look tonight/tomorrow AM – this could be one team that sees a late switch in.

Horizon League:  Valparaiso Crusaders 2013 Horizon League tournament champs.

Colonial:  Harvard Crimson, 2013 Ivy League Champs

MAAC: Iona Gaels, 2013 MAAC Tournament champion.

MEAC: The survivors’ final – a conference tournament which saw upset left and right – North Carolina A&T and Morgan State, 2pm PT, ESPNU/WATCH

MAC: The final we thought before the Abreu suspension, but Akron has maintained their strength, and they face Ohio at 330pm, ESPN2/WATCH

MVC: Creighton Blue Jays, 2013 Arch Madness champions

MWC: Well, we were wrong, Dorian Green did play, but UNLV was still too much for the Rams, while New Mexico had little trouble with San Diego State.   Today at 3pm on CBS – should be a great final – UNLV v. New Mexico

NEC: Long Island University Brooklyn Blackbirds, 2013 NEC Tournament champs

OVC: Belmont Bruins, 2013 OVC Tournament champions.

Patriot: Bucknell Bison, 2013 Patriot League champions.

Pac 12: A great early game was marred by what happened on the last play, challenging Solomon Hill’s game tying attempt, UCLA’s Jordan Adams came down awkwardly, and the uber-talented freshman has a broken foot that will sideline him for the season.  That will likely to some damage to UCLA seed, but we only knocked them down 1 line, pending what they look like in tonight’s championship game versus Oregon.  It’s been a heckuva weekend in Vegas, not quite the quality of play of the Big 10, but every bit the basketball drama – which now, unfortunately, includes a big injury.  8pm PT, ESPN/WATCH

SEC: What to do with Ole Miss, they defeated Missouri and leaped back into the Buffet’s eyes.  What they can’t do is lose to Vandy, for sure.  But this is tough, their profile is largely better than MTSU, but they lost to MTSU.  They have two wins over Tennessee, but lost to Kentucky. Right now, we’re keeping them out, win over Vandy, and tonight/tomorrow AM’s Buffetology will probably look a bit different.

Florida advanced to the final and extinguished the Waiting Line… hopes of Alabama.

Southern: Davidson Wildcats, 2013 Southern Conference tournament champions

Southland:  Northwestern State v. Stephen F. Austin, 530pm PT, ESPN2/WATCH

Summit: South Dakota State Jackrabbits, back to back Summit Tournament champs.

Sun Belt: Western Kentucky, Sun Belt conference tournament champions

SWAC:  Prairie View A&M v. Southern U – right now – ESPN2/WATCH

WAC:   Championship game – 8pm PT tonight: Texas-Arlington v. New Mexico St, ESPNU/WATCH

West Coast: Gonzaga, 2013 WCC Conference champions

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