News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Tuesday, Nov 28th

NEWS AND NOTES:

CLICK HERE for our latest HOOPS HD REPORT Video Podcast, where we recap a busy week from Feast Week and preview all of the action coming up this week

For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-The surprise of the night was Oakland’s 78-76 win at Xavier. The Grizzlies held a lead for most of the game, but it was close all throughout. Late in the game it looked as though Xavier was getting control, but Oakland made some big plays and foguth them off. X even had a three-quarters court shot at the buzzer that almost went in and won the game, but Oakland managed to pull out the upset. Oakland’s three losses were at Ohio State, at Illinois, and against Drake. Those are all good teams, all away from home, and they were competitive in all of those games, so they are now suddenly a UTR team to keep an eye on.

-Saint Mary’s, a team that I said I thought would be a protected seed prior to the start of the year, fell to 3-4 yesterday and lost their second home game after Utah came in and beat them 78-71. Utah might be good, but I think it’s pretty clear that at least up to this point, SMC is not a tournament caliber team, much less a protected seed. I now need to go back, edit out what I said in those podcasts, and destroy the evidence!!

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-MISSISSIPPI STATE AT GEORGIA TECH (ACC/SEC Challenge). Mississippi State has clearly looked like the superior team. It’s early, but so far Mississippi State looks like a team that will land in the top half of the bracket, and Georgia Tech looks like a team that will be nowhere near the NIT, but it is the first true road game for Mississippi State.

-CINCINNATI AT HOWARD. Props to Cincinnati for scheduling this. They haven’t played a road game yet, and they should get this one, and it may help them out in the metrics because Howard will probably win a fair number of games, and a fair number of games at home. It’s actually not such an easy win that the Bearcats can just completely overlook them.

-SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AT INDIANA STATE (Missouri Valley). Conference play is underway! The MVC has collectively won a lot of games and has collectively played well so far, and it wouldn’t shock me at all to see them get multiple teams into the field. Southern Illinois’s only loss was a close one to James Madison, and to get this win on the road would add a nice early season sparkle to their resume. Indiana State also has just one loss, but like Southern Illinois, doesn’t really have any notable wins yet.

-NOTRE DAME AT SOUTH CAROLINA (ACC/SEC Challenge). The Irish are just 3-2 and face a South Carolina team that’s a perfect 5-0 with some of those wins coming against some pretty decent teams away from home. The Gamecocks should get this one and are actually looking like a bit of a sleeper team in the SEC.

-LSU AT SYRACUSE (ACC/SEC Challenge). I don’t get the sense that either team will really end up all that close to the bubble, but both are coming into this one at 4-2.

-MIAMI FL AT KENTUCKY (ACC/SEC Challenge). I love this game! Both teams are ranked in the top 15, both have the potential to end up as protected seeds, and both have already shown this season that they can play at a high level. Kentucky is 5-1 and perhaps their most impressive showing was the one that they lost, which was a close game against a really strong Kansas team. Miami FL is a perfect 5-0 and has had some decent tests, but none as tough as this one will be today. The Canes do not go to Duke this year, so this is perhaps the single toughest game they will play until March.

-MISSOURI VS PITTSBURGH (ACC/SEC Challenge). I think both of these teams certainly have potential, and both have shown signs of that potential at points during the season, but at the same time neither team has really shown out yet. Missouri’s best win is against Minnesota who isn’t exactly good, and they have a bad loss at home to Jackson State on top of that. Pitt also has just one loss, but they don’t really have any good wins either. So, one of these teams will come out of this with their best win of the season up to this point.

-UTAH STATE AT SAINT LOUIS. Utah State had a lot of question marks coming into the season given how much turnover they had, but I’d say those questions have been answered. Based on their first six games, they look like a tournament team, and have the chance at another tough but winnable road game tonight.

-NC STATE AT OLE MISS (ACC/SEC Challenge). Both teams have good records, but the majority of those wins have been in buy games, and this would be the biggest win of the season so far for whichever team manages to pull it off. Both teams will certainly be tested and have more chances after this, especially once they get into conference play, but tonight is a good early season game that should tell us something about both of them.

-CLEMSON AT ALABAMA (ACC/SEC Challenge). I think both of these teams will end up being solid tournament teams, and think that perhaps they’re both being a little undervalued at the moment. Clemson has a chance at a huge road win that will really boost their resume, and Alabama can hold their spot in top 25 and perhaps even move up. It wouldn’t shock me to see both of these teams not just in the bracket come March, but in the top half of it.

-AKRON AT UNLV. Akron is off to a decent 4-2 start and they were blown out by Drake in their last game, but I still think they could put together a big season and perhaps land somewhere near the bubble. They need to get this win tonight, though.

-PORTLAND AT PORTLAND STATE. Portland State is off to a very impressive (and somewhat surprising) 5-1 start, and this is just their second home game. It should be a fun one tonight.

OTHER NOTABLE GAMES/BUY GAMES:

-Georgia Southern @ Michigan State
-Western Carolina @ Tennessee Tech – WCU can get to 6-0 and pick up their third true road win tonight
-Wagner @ Providence
-Rider @ Maryland
-Eastern Illinois @ Kansas
-Nicholls @ Baylor – Nicholls is perhaps a Southland frontrunner, but they are way overmatched tonight
-Oral Roberts @ Kansas State
-McNeese @ UAB – UAB can get to a decent 5-2 overall, but McNeese can play well and they better not overlook them
-Texas Southern @ Purdue
-Southern @ Marquette
-Cal State Bakersfield @ Gonzaga
-UC San Diego @ Washington

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Tuesday, November 28th

Southern Illinois (4-1, 0-0) at Indiana State (5-1, 0-0) – 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day takes us to Terre Haute, Indiana for the first conference game of the year nationally this season; the Southern Illinois Salukis visit the Indiana State Sycamores. The Salukis are coming off of a 3rd place finish in the Cancun Challenge where they lost to eventual champion James Madison 82-76 and defeated the New Mexico State Aggies 81-54. Xavier Johnson averages 23 points a game and 5.4 assists per game for the Salukis.

The Trees are coming off of 3 consecutive wins in the Ball Dawgs Classic in suburban Las Vegas in a nonbracketed MTE. Their first two wins came against Rice and Pepperdine; they edged Toledo 76-74 to complete the 3-game sweep. Isaiah Swope hit a 3-pointer with 36 seconds remaining to give the Trees the lead for good in that game.

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The Hoops HD Report (Nov 27th)

Tonight, we recap one of the busiest and most important weeks of the year as we look back on all the action from the in-season tournaments last week. Purdue is the new #1 team in both polls, and they certainly earned it by winning the Maui Invitational and beating Tennessee, Gonzaga, and Marquette along the way. Marquette also had some big wins, and is also deservedly high in the poll. The SEC also has a lot of teams that look good early, and they’ll be tested this week as the ACC/SEC Challenge gets underway. We take a look at both of those leagues and all of the big match-ups, including Miami FL at Kentucky, and Clemson vs Alabama. The Mountain West is also off to a good start, particularly Colorado State who blew out Creighton in their event in Kansas City last week. Villanova is also off to an impressive start with three big wins last week. We also look at teams like Saint Mary’s and Missouri, who have struggled more than we expected them to. We discuss all that, and more!

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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Hoops HD Bracket Projections: JNG EDITION!!! (Nov 27th)

For today’s Hoops HD Daily Rundown – CLICK HERE

The seedlist was built entirely from our own JNG Rankings, which you can look at and read about by CLICKING HERE. Joby Fortson will now be updating these daily, so be sure and continue to check it out throughout the season.

-If you see a number in parenthesis, it indicates that a team’s seed needed to be moved up or down due to bracketing rules.

NOTES AND COMMENTS FROM JOBY FORTSON:

As mentioned this is the JNG bracket as it stands right now. The key is that it is solely based on what teams have done THIS YEAR. That means we have an unusual number of under the radar and non-P5 teams scattering the bracket because of what they actually have accomplished compared to some of their P5 counterparts. Let’s focus on some of these teams as well as the top of the bracket.

If you had said a bracket preseason would have 1 seeds of Purdue, Arizona UConn and Marquette that would not sound unreasonable. Especially when you consider Marquette is there because they beat preseason #1 and present 2 seed Kansas and Purdue beat Marquette. Meanwhile, Arizona walked into Cameron and gave the Blue Devils, who are still a protected seed, their first loss at home to a non conference foe in several years. Oh and the defending national champs still have not lost and beaten tournament level teams Texas and Indiana away from home.

Some notable protected seed teams include James Madison as a 3 after beating Sparty in East Lansing, undefeated Colorado State as a 3 (yes the formula does not discriminate against Mountain West teams) for its win agains Creighton on a neutral court, and Bradley as a 3 for its undefeated 6-0 record all against the top 200 and 4 top 100 wins half of which were away from home. Finally, it is time to tweak Teitel for Princeton’s great representation of the Ivy as their 6-0 record is comprised of FIVE games away from home including top 100 Rutgers.

Eight Big XII teams make the field. It is not quite as impressive in years past where that would be 80% of the league but even so it is over half and Houston, BYU, and Cincinnati are proving good early additions helping that number. Three Big XII teams sit in the top 2 seed lines with Baylor joining the aforementioned Houston and Kansas squads. The SEC comes next with 7 teams followed by the ACC and Big Ten with 6 apiece. Despite Arizona doing the job it is notable the Pac-12 has been poor in the non conference and only provides 2 teams with Colorado as a 10 joining the #2 overall Wildcats.

Chattanooga is your last team in as an at large giving the SoCon two teams with Western Carolina. Chattanooga’s win over Louisville thus is not an indictment on the Cardinals our reigning Stallings Award winner. Likewise undefeated Western Carolina also got a nice win over the ACC basement by taking out Notre Dame.

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Monday, Nov 27th

NEWS AND NOTES:

-We will be recording The Hoops HD Video Podcast tonight, and it should be a busy show as we recap all of the tournaments from last week. We will also have this week’s bracket posted a little later on today, so be on the lookout for that.

-Texas A&M came from behind to beat Iowa State 73-69 in the ESPN Events Invitational and improves to 6-1 on the season. Iowa State falls to 5-2, but I really like how they played in this event and think they’re poised to have a good year from here on out. Once again, Iowa State had little expectations coming into the year, but may actually have the makings of a tournament team.

-Florida Atlantic blew Virginia Tech into the sun 84-50 in the ESPN Events Invitaitonal. I’d say FAU is back to looking like a top ten caliber team.

-Mike Rhoades at Penn State faced off against his old VCU team in the ESPN Events Invitational. It was a setting worthy of an early season tournament. They were playing at Disney World at 11am in front of a sparse crowd. VCU picked up the 86-74 win and both teams are now 4-3 with a lot of work to do.

-Yale went to Rhode Island and blew what appeared to be a commanding double digit lead and ended up losing 76-72. This is the kind of game that Yale needed to win if they wanted to argue that they belonged inside the bubble. It was a tough game, but it was certainly a winnable game for a tournament-caliber team.

-Harvard was another Ivy League team that had a shot at a notable and winnable road game, but fell to Indiana 89-76. Most of Indiana’s wins prior to this have been close games against weaker teams, so it was probably the best the Hoosiers have looked all year. (Note from Stalica – technically this was a neutral-court game in Indianapolis and the NET will treat it as such, even though it was for all intents and purposes a de facto home game for Indiana.)

-Butler ended up with a pretty impressive 70-56 win over a Boise State team a lot of us liked. To be fair, Boise has been somewhat disappointing this season, but also to be fair, Butler has been a lot better than expected.

-UIC vs UNC Greensboro in the Baha Mar Hoops final was a wild game with a crazy finish. UIC hit a go ahead jumper with about 7 seconds left to take a 57-56 lead. We then had a video review for what seemed like forever to determine whether or not he got the shot off in time before the shotclock expired (thanks to Chad Sherwood for clarifing that for me. I was watching with the sound off). After that, UNCG went the length of the floor, lost the ball, got it back, and got fouled in the final seconds. They hit both freethrows for the 58-57 win, they won the event, and improve to 5-1 on the year with a pretty impressive looking resume. As for UIC, they did lose the game, but they have also been one of the more surprising UTR teams this year. I thought they’d be a doormat in the Missouri Valley, but they’ve had some nice wins and almost beat a really good UNC Greensboro team yesterday.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-NORTHERN ILLINOIS AT NORTHWESTERN. This is a buy game, but Northern Illinois has been surprisingly good this year with a 5-1 overall record and two true road wins so far. Granted, they haven’t beaten anyone on Northwestern’s level, and were beaten handily by Marquette in the opener, but they should be able to give the Wildcats a better than expected game.

-UC SANTA BARBARA AT FRESNO STATE. UCSB is a good UTR team (or so we think) that’s off to ab it of a slow start, and Fresno State is a potential sleeper in the Mountain West, so the match-up is compelling.

-UTAH AT SAINT MARY’S. Saint Mary’s has dropped two games that you would expect a team of their caliber to be able to win, and is a little light on notable resume-building wins so far despite having multiple opportunities early. They should be able to get this one at home, but they better not overlook the Utes.

-Oakland @ Xavier – buy game
-New Hampshire @ UConn – buy game
-Saint Peter’s @ Rutgers – Rutgers has won four straight since losing the opener to Princeton
-Western Illinois @ Wisconsin
-Houston Christian @ TCU – TCU is 5-0, but all five wins have been home buy games
-Point Loma Nazarene (nonD1) @ San Diego State – where did the Aztecs dig this team up from?
-Eastern Washington @ Washington State (Top Range) – Wazzu can get to 5-1 on the year

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Monday, November 27th

Troy (3-3, 1-3 D1) at Eastern Kentucky (2-2, 0-2 D1) – 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day takes us back to campus sites where the one-time A-Sun Troy Trojans visit the current A-Sun Eastern Kentucky Colonels. Troy has only had one D1 victory so far this season; they defeated Grambling 80-67 in what was part of a MTE that also featured Sam Houston State. (Sam Houston State actually won that event with wins against Troy and Grambling) Christon Eugene had 23 points for the Trojans in their win against Grambling.

Eastern Kentucky comes into tonight’ game looking for their first win against D1 competition. To date, they have losses against UT-Martin and Prairie View A&M. Isaiah Cozart leads the Colonels with 18.3 points a game and 10.5 rebounds per contest.

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