The Hoops HD Report – (Nov 13th)

Chad, Joby, David, and Jon Teitel look back on a busy first week of the season that gave us a lot of uninteresting buy games, but also gave us a lot of important match-ups and surprises. Arizona got a huge win at Duke, which has volted them to the top of most metrics and shot them up the rankings. James Madison shocked the world with their big win at Michigan State, and has cracked the top 25. Texas A&M and Tennessee managed pretty impressive road wins out of the SEC. Once again the Atlantic 10 is off to a sluggish start as they dropped multiple home buy games and still don’t have a really big marquee win yet, and just like last year, Joby Fortson beats up on the Mountain West Conference!

And for all you radio lovers, below is an audio only version of the show…

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Monday, Nov 13th

NEWS, NOTES, AND LINKS:

For the Hoops HD Merit Rankings and Bracket Projections after Week 1 – CLICK HERE

For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-The biggest game and surprise of the day was Weber State’s 61-57 win at Saint Mary’s. We liked this Weber State team coming into the year, and we even said we thought they could make some noise on the national scene, but this really was a shock. Saint Mary’s was a team we liked even more and were expecting to get a protected seed, which they absolutely can still do, but still. It was a surprising result. They won’t lose many at home. This is a MASSIVE statement win for Weber State. It’s the kind of win that can land them inside the bubble come March.

-Maryland lost their second game of the year as they fell to UAB 66-63. UAB is definitely a decent team, and this win had to feel good for the Blazers after suffering close losses in their first two games, but to see Maryland drop both games out in the Asheville Championship is a bit alarming. It’s certainly not the start they wanted or expected.

-Davidson was right with Clemson in the championship game of that event, but Clemson held on for the 68-65 win. Two neutral floor wins against solid competition is a great way for the Tigers to start off the season, but Davidson played really well too. They now have my attention. In fact they’ve probably looked better than everyone else in the Atlantic 10 up to this point. I know that’s not saying much, but still.

-Boise State got a battle at home from San Francisco, which was a bit unexpected, but still held on to win 63-58. A solid showing from the Dons, though, who we thought would be in a rebuild mode this year.

-Yale got a much needed road win at LMU, but it wasn’t easy. It was close the entire way, but the Bulldogs did hold on 83-80.

-Nevada picked up a nice 83-76 road win at Washington.

-Indiana has won both their buy games, but they’ve had to sweat a lot more than expected against what appear to be some pretty weak teams. When I say weak, I mean weak by Patriot League and Atlantic Sun standards. Army was in the game with the Hoosiers until after the final media timeout. It wasn’t until the last couple of minutes that they finally got control and held on to win 72-64. The Hoosiers may have some issues to work through this season.

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HIGHLIGHTED GAMES

-MICHIGAN AT SAINT JOHN’S (Gavitt Tipoff Games). Neither team has a loss, but neither team has really been tested either, although Michigan did really dominate what I think is a pretty good UNC Asheville team last week. This is the first chance that either team has to get a win of substance.

-WESTERN CAROLINA AT MIDDLE TENNESSEE. This is an odd game to highlight, but they are two teams that we thought could be Under the Radar dark horses this year. Both are 2-0, and both have shown signs that they could end up having big years. It will be interesting to see what they do against each other tonight.

-SOUTH DAKOTA STATE AT KANSAS STATE. A really interesting game here between a very good South Dakota State team that needs a signature win on their resume to get the attention of the committee, and a K State team that we think is being undervalued. Both have a loss, so in addition to this being an opportunity at a likely notable win, there is a bit of a sense of urgency to it as well even though it’s just the 8th day of the season.

-XAVIER AT PURDUE (Gavitt Tipoff Games). This will be Purdue’s biggest test of the year so far, but having said that it’s hard to say how much of a test it really is. Xavier is in a bit of a rebuild mode, but they did breeze through their buy games. We will learn something about them today as they face what I think is the best team in the country on the road.

BUY GAMES AND OTHER NOTABLE GAMES:

-Florida International @ Miami FL
-Villanova @ Penn (Big 5 Classic) – I know it’s a Big 5 rivalry, but it also looks to be a big mismatch
-The Citadel @ Presbyterian – we aren’t expecting much from Presby, but for now they’re 2-0 with a win at Vanderbilt
-Central Michigan @ Florida State
-Stony Brook @ Duquesne
-East Tennessee State @ Butler – Butler hasn’t really been tested yet, but they’ve blown out their first two opponents like you would expect a good team to do
-Quinnipiac @ UMass – both teams unbeaten
-FGCU @ Pittsburgh – Pitt trying to get to 3-0
-VMI @ South Carolina – South Carolina trying to get to 3-0
-Stetson @ Houston
-Southern @ Arizona – Southern did win at UNLV, but they’re likely in way over their heads int his one tonight
-Old Dominion @ Arkansas
-SIUE @ Missouri
-Rider @ Nebraska
-UC Santa Barbara @ UTEP – it’s usually not easy to win at UTEP, and they won their first two home games this year. UCSB needs to bounce back from a somewhat surprising home loss to Portland State

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Hoops HD Merit Rankings (and Bracket Projections) – Nov 13th

So, I want to make sure everyone knows what they’re looking at. This IS NOT a ranking of how good I think the teams actually are. Not even close. It is also not a ranking of how good I think the teams will be in March. I can’t see that far into the future anyway, but even if I could, that’s not what this is. This is strictly ranking teams based on their CURRENT MERIT. In other words, I’m asking myself “How hard was it for these teams to play and win the games that they did?” That’s it!

The first think I’ll say is that home buy games count for nothing. The committee doesn’t value them, so why should I? Any team that won away any sort of game away from home is higher in these rankings than any team that’s only won home buy games. Again, it’s a MERIT ranking, and a team that goes out and wins on the road deserves more credit than someone who simply stays home and plays buy games.

A lot of really good teams like Purdue, and Marquette, and Kentucky, and several others, have only played home buy games. Yes, they are almost assuredly MUCH better than where they show up in these rankings, but when you look at their CURRENT MERIT, 100+ other teams could have played and won those same games without any problem. So, spare me the emails and criticism!!

Another common criticism…”It’s too early to do this!” Well, if you feel that way, then stop reading. I, however, will respond to this. See the picture below…

No one floods ESPN with comments like “It’s too early!! Why is the score on the screen so early in the game!?” or “Are you guys stupid?? Are you trying to say that Dartmouth is just as good as Duke??”

It’s simply the score and time at that point in the game! Everyone knows that! That’s all these rankings are! There are 19 weeks to the season this year. After one week, we’ve played about two minutes of a game. This is the current score. YOU ARE WELCOME!!!

Another reason to do it is because, as an analyst, it gets me into the habit of…well…analyzing all the teams.

  1. JAMES MADISON – 3-0, wins @ Michigan State and @ Kent State, home buy win
  2. ARIZONA – 2-0, win @ Duke, home buy win
  3. WEBER STATE – 1-0 vs D1, win @ Saint Mary’s
  4. MEMPHIS – 2-0, win @ Missouri
  5. TENNESSEE – 2-0, win @ Wisconsin
  6. Texas A&M – 2-0, win @ Ohio State
  7. Usc – 2-0, neutral win vs Kansas State
  8. AKRON – 2-0, win @ South Dakota State, home win vs Southern Miss
  9. BAYLOR – 1-0, neutral win vs Auburn
  10. PRINCETON – 2-0, neutral win vs Rutgers, win @ Hofstra
  11. PORTLAND STATE – 2-0, 2 road wins @ Air Force and @ UC Santa Barbara
  12. BRADLEY – 2-0, win @ UAB, home win vs Utah State
  13. CLEMSON – 3-0, neutral wins vs UAB and Davidson
  14. ABILENE CHRISTIAN – 1-1, win @ Oklahoma State, loss @ NC State
  15. PRESBYTERIAN – 1-0, road win @ Vanderbilt
  16. Virginia – 2-0, neutral win vs Florida
  17. Byu – 2-0, home win vs San Diego State
  18. DAVIDSON – 1-1 vs D1, neutral win vs Maryland, neutral loss to Clemson
  19. Duquesne – 2-0, neutral win vs Charleston
  20. Cornell – 2-0 vs D1, wins @ Lehigh and @ Fordham
  21. Canisius – 1-1, loss @ Syracuse, win @ Saint Bonaventure
  22. Radford – 1-1, loss @ North Carolina, neutral win vs Marshall
  23. SOUTHERN – 1-1, loss @ TCU, win @ UNLV
  24. MCNEESE – 1-0 vs D1, win @ VCU
  25. UNC WILMINGTON – 1-0 vs D1, win @ UNC Asheville
  26. Yale – 1-1 vs D1, loss @ Gonzaga, win @ LMU
  27. Oregon – 2-0, neutral win vs Georgia
  28. SAINT MARY’S – 1-0 vs D1, home win vs New Mexico
  29. Utah Valley – 1-0 vs D1, win @ Sam Houston
  30. North Texas – 2-0, home win vs Northern Iowa
  31. Florida Atlantic – 1-0, neutral win vs Loyola Chicago
  32. Uab – 1-2, home loss to Bradley, Neutral loss to Clemson, neutral win vs Maryland
  33. Nicholls – 1-1, loss @ Tulane, win @ LSU
  34. NORTHWESTERN – 2-0, home win vs Dayton
  35. CREIGHTON – 2-0, home win vs North Dakota State
  36. Georgia – 2-1, home win vs Wake Forest, neutral loss vs Oregon
  37. Gonzaga – 1-0, home win vs Yale
  38. Delaware – 2-0, home win vs Air Force, win @ Bucknell
  39. Miami FL – 2-0, home win vs UCF
  40. Mississippi State – 2-0, neutral win vs Arizona State
  41. FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON– 1-1 vs D1, win @ Buffalo, loss @ Seton Hall
  42. Monmouth – 1-1, loss @ George Mason, win @ West Virginia
  43. HOLY CROSS – 1-1, loss @ Siena, win @ Georgetown
  44. PURDUE FORT WAYNE – 2-0, win @ DePaul
  45. LONG BEACH STATE – 1-1, road loss @ Portland, road win @ DePaul
  46. CHATTANOOGA – 1-0 vs D1, win @ Louisville
  47. Harvard – 1-0 vs D1, win @ Rice
  48. Western Carolina – 1-0 vs D1, win @ Notre Dame
  49. SAM HOUSTON STATE – 1-2, win @ Pacifc, home loss vs Utah Valley, buy game loss @ Oklahoma St
  50. Temple – 2-0, win @ Navy
  51. MARIST – 2-0, wins @ Army and @ UMBC
  52. UMASS LOWELL – 1-0, vs D1, win @ Dartmouth
  53. Boston College – 2-0, won @ The Citadel
  54. Drexel – 1-1, loss @ La Salle, win @ Winthrop
  55. Cal State Northridge – 1-1, loss @ Stanford, win @ Idaho
  56. Towson – 1-1, loss @ Colorado, win @ Coppin State
  57. NORTH FLORIDA – 1-0 vs D1, win @ Charleston Southern
  58. Saint Peter’s – 1-1, loss @ Seton Hall, win @ NJIT
  59. Manhattan – 1-1, win @ Bryant, loss @ Kansas
  60. Merrimack – 1-1 vs D1, loss @ Vermont, win @ Maine
  61. Georgia State – 1-1, loss @ Belmont, win @ Western Michigan
  62. UL Monroe – 1-1, loss @ Houston, win @ Central Michigan
  63. NORTH DAKOTA STATE – 1-1 vs D1, win @ Western Michigan, loss @ Creighton
  64. Loyola MD – 1-1, loss @ Florida, win @ Brown
  65. NC State – 2-0 in home buy games, but did beat Abilene Christian
  66. North Carolina North Carolina – 2-0 in home buy games, but did beat Radford
  67. La Salle – 2-0, home win vs Drexel
  68. Texas Tech – 2-0 in home buy games, but did beat San Jose State
  69. BOISE STATE – 1-0 vs D1, home win vs San Francisco
  70. Syracuse – 2-0 in home buy games, but did beat Canisius
  71. Michigan – 2-0 in buy games, did beat UNC Asheville
  72. Cleveland State – 1-1, loss @ Duquesne, home win vs Ohio U
  73. UT Arlington 1-0 vs D1, home win vs Oral Roberts
  74. Kent State – 1-1, home loss vs James Madison, home win vs Fresno State
  75. South Dakota – 1-0 vs D1, neutral win vs UTRGV
  76. Purdue – 2-0 in buy games
  77. Duke – 1-1, only win was a home buy game
  78. Marquette – 2-0 in home buy games
  79. Texas – 2-0 in home buy games
  80. Connecticut – 2-0 in home buy games
  81. Kentucky – 2-0 in home buy games
  82. Arkansas – 2-0 in home buy games
  83. Alabama – 2-0 in home buy games
  84. Michigan State – 1-1, home buy win, home loss vs James Madison
  85. Houston – 2-0 in home buy games
  86. San Diego State – 1-1, home buy win, loss @ BYU
  87. Missouri – 1-1, home buy win, home loss vs Memphis
  88. Illinois – 2-0 in buy games
  89. Villanova – 2-0 in home buy games
  90. Ucla – 2-0 in home buy games
  91. Texas State – 1-1, loss @ Little Rock, win @ Miami OH
  92. Tcu – 2-0 in home buy games
  93. Iowa State – 3-0 in home buy games
  94. Colorado – 2-0 in home buy games
  95. Xavier – 2-0 in home buy games
  96. Tulane – 2-0 in home buy games
  97. Oklahoma – 2-0 in home buy games
  98. Cincinnati – 3-0 in home buy games
  99. Saint John’s – 1-0 in home buy games
  100. Indiana – 1-0 in home buy games
  101. New Mexico – 1-1, home buy win, loss @ Saint Mary’s
  102. Iowa – 2-0 in home buy games
  103. Wisconsin – 1-1, home buy win, home loss vs Tennessee
  104. Drake – 1-0 in buy games
  105. Utah – 2-0 in home buy games
  106. Colorado State – 2-0 in buy games
  107. Nevada – 1-0 in buy games
  108. Washington – 2-0 in home buy games
  109. Florida – 1-1, home buy win, neutral loss vs Virginia
  110. Wyoming – 1-0 in buy games
  111. Santal Clara – 2-0 in home buy games
  112. South Alabama – 1-1, lost to a nonD1 opponent, road win @ Buffalo
  113. Portland – 2-0 in D1 home buy games
  114. Air Force – 1-2, home loss vs Portland State, loss @ Delware, win @ Long Island
  115. Pacific – 1-1, home loss vs Sam Houston State, win @ California
  116. Bucknell – 1-2, home loss vs Delaware, loss @ Penn, win @ Niagara
  117. HOWARD – 1-2, home win vs Hampton (only MEAC team with a D1 win)
  118. LITTLE ROCK – 1-1, home win vs Texas State (only OVC team with a D1 win)

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And after seeing this list, you may be asking yourself….’Holy Crap!! That’s crazy!! If someone were to bracket that, what would it look like??” Well…it would look like this…

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Under the Radar Game of the Day – Monday, November 13th

Hampton (1-1, 0-1 D1) at Norfolk State (2-0, 0-0 D1) – 7:00 PM ET, FloHoops

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day goes to the city of Norfolk where the Hampton Pirates pay a visit to their old conference rival Norfolk State in a game dubbed as the Battle of the Bay. This rivalry dates back to the 1958-59 season. Hampton opened up the season with a 12-point loss at Howard, but they are coming off of a 109-46 win against non-D1 Mid-Atlantic Christian in their last outing. Kyrese Mullin had 25 points and 18 rebounds in only 27 minutes in the Pirates’ victory.

The Spartans of Norfolk State will be concluding a 3-game homestand that has featured a pair of wins against non-D1 programs Penn State-Wilkes Barre and the Apprentice School. Five Spartan players scored in double figures in the 90-56 win against Apprentice School; Jaylani Darden led the way with 12 points in only 22 minutes of game action.

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Hanging with the Hoyas: Part 2

HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel will spend the upcoming months covering several Georgetown basketball home games, with (hopefully) a very special reward coming in March. He was in attendance Saturday night and prepared this photo essay about the Hoyas’ matchup against Holy Cross.

I rarely turn down the chance for free food…but I made a rare exception and joined my friend/season ticketholder Sam for a pregame meal across the street from Capital 1 Arena at Mi Vida. It is not easy to find great Mexican food in DC…but I recommend the Salmon Calabacitas and Enchiladas Suizas. 1 person I did NOT expect to see at the game was Fred Brown, who will always be remembered for accidentally passing the ball to James Worthy in the final seconds the 1982 NCAA title game…but he did help Georgetown win an NCAA title 2 years later so I guess he has been forgiven:

Let’s tip it off:

It has been a while since new Holy Cross coach Dave Paulsen won his previous game as a head coach: 3/4/21 to be specific, when as coach at GMU he beat GW in the 2nd round of the 2021 A-10 tourney. His SR G Bo Montgomery scored 17 PTS in the season opener and picked up right where he left off last night with a couple of jumpers and a lefty runner in the lane during the 1st 20 minutes:

Georgetown was favored by double-digits but was only up 37-32 at halftime. They did a good job of holding onto the ball (just 2 turnovers in the 1st half) and got a lot of scoring from FR SG Rowan Brumbaugh, who made a pair of threes and converted a nice give-and-go for a layup:

Hoyas’ SR PG Jayden Epps was mostly a distributor in the season opener (5 PTS/11 AST) but turned into a scorer in Game #2 with a bunch of threes en route to a career-high 22 PTS:

However, the star of the show was Holy Cross SR G Joe Octave, who almost singlehandedly was the cause of his team’s 38-18 points-in-the-paint advantage. He got into the lane over and over for a variety of scoops/layups, and when he was not making shots he was hitting the boards (setting a career-high with 11 REB). He remained clutch down the stretch, making his 1st 3 of the game to tie it at 57-all right before the under-4 timeout, then made his final 3 of the game with 56 seconds left to give his team a 68-67 lead. That turned out to be the final score as Georgetown was unable to get off a decent shot at the buzzer for the 1st loss of Ed Cooley’s tenure in DC. After scoring just 5 PTS in the season opener Octave exploded for a career-high 33 PTS (including an incredible 25 in the 2nd half) and did not have a single turnover while putting together 1 of the best all-around efforts I have ever seen in person:

In the postgame press conference I asked Octave if it was the greatest performance of his life and whether it felt extra-special to do it on Veteran’s Day after playing his 1st 2 years of college basketball at Air Force. He confirmed that it was indeed the best performance of his life, especially considering it was against a Big East team like Georgetown. Seeing the ROTC and hearing the national anthem before the game really motivated him but he was happiest that his team won the game:

Since Octave was near-unstoppable I wondered what sort of defensive philosophy Coach Cooley employed was facing such a red-hot opponent. He shot down my suggestion of playing a box-and-1 and just preferred to guard Octave with different players because “that’s the challenge, baby!” He also took ownership of the result by saying, “Coaches lose games and players win games.”

That is a wrap for now, the Hoyas head to Piscataway this week but check back next weekend as they host back-to-back games against Mt. St. Mary’s/American.

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games: Sunday, Nov 12th

NEWS AND NOTES:

-For John Stalica’s Under the Radar Game of the Day between Howard and James Madison – CLICK HERE

While there were certainly some exciting games yesterday, nothing overly cataclysmic happened. Most people were probably watching football instead anyway.

-Bradley is now 2-0 with wins over UAB on the road, which is tough to do, and an overtime win at home against a Utah State team that’s rebuilding, but that’s still a whole hell of a lot better than a lot of teams they could have played in a buy game. The Braves now have our attention.

-UNC Asheville, my preseason Big South pick and a team that I said I thought might be able to make some noise nationally, played their second game yesterday and for the second time was completely blown off the floor. UNC Wilmington (who to be fair is another really good team out of the CAA) just went into Asheville and dominated the entire game 83-66. I still think UNCA will be good once they get into the Big South, and if anything I’m starting to keep more of an eye on UNCW, but I will also admit that UNCA is not as good as I thought they would be. At least they haven’t show in it so far.

-It’s not easy to win at places like Cleveland State, but as we at Hoops HD like to say, it’s not easy to make the NCAA Tournament. Ohio U is a good team (or so we think), and they lost a game at Cleveland State yesterday 82-78 that we knew would be tough for them to win, but these are the kinds of games teams that end up making the NCAA Tournament have to be able to win.

-Kent State followed up their overtime thrilling loss against James Madison with a solid win at home against Fresno State 79-69. The Golden Flashes are not an easy team to beat on their floor.

-Notre Dame looks to be really bad. I want to make that perfectly clear. But Western Carolina actually doesn’t. That’s a strange thing to say because WCU has seemingly always been bad, but they’re actually a dark horse in the SoCon this year. Their 71-61 win in South Bend yesterday wasn’t really a fluke or a surprise.

-DePaul also looks really bad. They lost at home to Long Beach State yesterday 77-73, and unlike Western Carolina Long Beach State is NOT a team that’s expected to make much noise in their respective conference this year.

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-MARYLAND VS UAB (Asheville Championship). This is the third place game, but on the team sheets and to the selection committee that won’t be mentioned anywhere. It will appear as any other neutral floor game would. UAB is off to a rough start having close losses in both their games against pretty respectable teams, and Maryland is looking to bounce back after a surprising upset loss to Davidson. Both teams could use a win like this on their resume, and I think as the season goes on both will end up with very respectable records.

-SAN JOSE STATE AT TEXAS TECH. Not much is expected out of either team this year, but both come into this one without a loss. It’s also fair to say that both are coming in without a test, but nevertheless neither team has lost. Yet.

-DAVIDSON AT CLEMSON (Asheville Championship). Clemson is here after a nice win over UAB, and Davidson is here after a surprising win against Maryland. I believe Clemson is a solid NCAA Tournament caliber team, and picking up another win away from home would be a really solid start to the building of their tournament resume.

-SAN FRANCISCO AT BOISE STATE. We like this Boise State team, and they are off to a 2-0 start. We weren’t quite as big on the Dons as we have been in recent years, but if they can some how pull this one off on the road then they’ll certainly have our attention.

-WEBER STATE AT SAINT MARY’S. Weber State is the near consensus favorite to win the Big Sky and they come into this one after winning their season opener. They’re probably in way over their heads in this one, though. SMC is tough to beat at home, they come in ranked 23rd and probably should be higher, and they didn’t really have to sweat against a really good New Mexico team in their last game.

-NEVADA AT WASHINGTON. I don’t think either of these teams will be in the picture come March, but both come into this one without a loss and have the chance to get what would for now be a notable win.

BUY GAMES AND OTHER NOTABLE GAMES

-Bryant @ Rutgers – Rutgers looking for their first win (EDIT: and by first he means second)
-Eastern Washington @ Cincinnati – I still think EWU will be good once they get into Big Sky play. Cincinnati trying to improve to 3-0
-Idaho State @ Iowa State
-Lehigh @ North Carolina
-Friends (nonD1) @ Wichita State
-Sam Houston @ Oklahoma State – Sam Houston could make some noise in CUSA, and Oklahoma State is still looking for their first win
-Howard @ James Madison – it’s the home opener for JMU and I hope the place is sold out. They’ve had a fantastic start to the year to say the least!
-Gardner Webb @ Baylor
-NC Central @ Georgia – Georgia is 1-1 and has looked better than expected so far
-UC Riverside @ Portland – Portland can get to 3-0 with a win
-Northern Arizona @ Grand Canyon
-Yale @ LMU – I’m really big on this Yale team, and this should be a winnable road game for them. It’s one they need if they want to make a run at the bubble
-Army @ Indiana
-UC Davis @ Montana – The first road game for UC Davis after a 2-0 start

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