Hoops HD Staff Bracket – Monday, January 2nd

After our holiday break, we resume our Staff Bracket projections this week. This is not to be confused with the brackets that our committee-guessing expert Jon Teitel posts; he is simply guessing what the Selection Committee would likely pick at this stage. With John Stalica’s turn this week, this is how he sees fit at this checkpoint of the season.

COMMENTS FROM JOHN:

– With UConn losing this weekend, we now have a clear-cut #1 overall seed with Purdue taking control. Kansas and Arizona continue to impress and UConn still has the edge over Houston for the final #1 spot for now.

– Both New Mexico and Xavier tied for #22 in the AP Poll last week and both teams have been rising fast in the seed list. The Musketeers have an opportunity to rise up a little faster given the level of competition in the Big East versus what the Mountain West offers for the Lobos.

– If not for their win at home against Yale, Kentucky would be 0-4 against the top two tiers in the NET. Notice they are not in the bracket right now.

– I think that Charleston and Florida Atlantic deserve to be above the First Four right now, but teams like North Texas and UAB also have a chance to crash the party as at-larges if things break right for them in C-USA. Southern Miss is not above the First Four but I do have them as a #12 seed at this point.

– Creighton is a team that will likely get healthy and get in the field later on in the season, but right now the resume isn’t there. Villanova may not get to that point and will really be behind the 8-ball should they not kick into gear soon.

First Four Out: Creighton, Utah State, Northwestern, NC State

COMMENTS FROM DAVID:  Stalica mentioned this in his write-up, but to the question of “Where’s Kentucky?” the answer should be “Right next to Oklahoma State.”  I do think Kentucky will be there in the end, but right now despite multiple chances, they just don’t have enough wins against the top 100, much less tournament caliber wins, to be selected.  I applaud John for the omission!!

-Sam Houston is in his field, but on the #12 line.  I’m starting to think that I’m the only person that I’m the only person that respects the hell out of their resume.  The wins at Oklahoma and Utah have got to be worth something.  Granted Stalica only has both of those teams in the First Four, so…

 

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Hanging with the Hoyas: Part 4

HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel will spend the upcoming months covering several Georgetown basketball home games, with (hopefully) a very special reward coming in March. You can find Parts 1-3 at:

https://hoopshd.com/2022/11/12/hanging-with-the-hoyas-part-1-2
https://hoopshd.com/2022/12/03/hanging-with-the-hoyas-part-2-3
https://hoopshd.com/2022/12/17/hanging-with-the-hoyas-part-3-3

See below for his photo essay about the Hoyas’ game last night against Butler.

I am starting off the new year with the pregame meal of the year: make-your-own steak sandwiches for dinner with chocolate chip cookies and mini-churros in caramel sauce for dessert! Let’s tip it off:

Our coaching matchup features 2 guys with very different resumes. Standing on the left is Coach Patrick Ewing, who has lost 23 conference games in a row entering tonight; sitting on the right is Coach Thad Matta, who has the 4th-best winning percentage among active D-1 coaches (minimum 10 seasons):

Tonight marks Matta’s 1st game vs. the Hoyas since he beat them 67-60 in the 2007 Final 4 in Atlanta as coach at Ohio State. His current director of basketball operations (Greg Oden) scored 13 PTS that night and along with Ewing gives us 2 former NBA 1st overall picks (1985 and 2007) in the arena:

Just when you think Georgetown’s problems could not get any worse, it turns out that JR G Jay Heath is out for the foreseeable future due to a left hand injury:

Butler G Eric Hunter finished his 4-year career at Purdue last spring by going out on top with a 29-win season and a trip to the Sweet 16 before losing to St. Peter’s. It must be weird for him to see his former team sitting on top of the college basketball world this season with a 13-0 record so far, but it did not seem to bother him as he made a bunch of layups and a corner 3 in the 1st half:

Another transfer who looked great in the 1st 20 minutes was Manny Bates, who only played 1 minute for NC State last season after suffering a season-ending shoulder injury in the very 1st minute of his season-opener vs. Bucknell, but was unstoppable in the paint with fadeaway jumper after dunk after turnaround baby hook:

SO G Jayden Taylor only had 3-17 3PM during the month of December and lost his spot in the starting lineup, but made a trio of threes off the bench in the 1st half: more on him later. Georgetown G Brandon Murray was coming off a career-high 29-PT performance at DePaul last Thursday and continued his hot streak with a 3 from the top of key and several successful drives to the hoop to keep his team in it for a while:

Butler led 38-30 at halftime, which is a bigger deal than you might think because the Bulldogs are 8-0 this year when leading at halftime. Taylor duplicated his hot start with 3 more shots from behind the arc in the 2nd half, finishing with a career-high 24 PTS and not a single turnover in just 21 minutes of action:

Georgetown was ice-cold from the field and finished with just 28.8 FG% as Butler pulled away to win 80-51, giving the Hoyas their 24th loss in a row to tie DePaul for the longest conference losing streak in Big East history. In the postgame press conference I asked Taylor how he was able to have the game of his life. He said that his success was due to the energy of the team becoming contagious, as their goal entering the game was just to win:

I knew that other media members would ask Ewing about the losing streak so I decided to inquire about whether Primo Spears might be hitting the proverbial wall due to playing almost 38 minutes/game (3rd-most in the nation). He confirmed that while Primo is banged up a bit his motor is just fine. His PG tries hard to be a facilitator (he only attempted 5 shots tonight), but Ewing feels he needs to give Primo some more scoring opportunities:

That is a wrap for now but check back later this week as Georgetown hosts Villanova on Wednesday.

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games – Monday, Jan 2

NEWS AND NOTES:

-For John Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

-A big thanks to John Stalica for helping out with the daily write-ups the last two days!  I was out celebrating, and one thing led to another, and…well…let’s just say that I don’t think local law enforcement has been very fair to puppets!!!

-We will be recording our Hoops HD Report tonight as we are now back on our normal schedule.  John Stalica will also have his first Staff Bracket of the New Year later today!

-Providence won handily at DePaul to stay unbeaten in Big East play and improve to 12-3 on the year.  The voters have got to start noticing this team.  They lost a ton from last year’s team and many dismissed them in the preseason, and it seems as though they actually haven’t notice that once again Providence is damn good!

-Washington State isn’t likely to make the tournament, but they are good enough to be considered a snake-pit when playing at home.  They nearly beat UCLA just a few nights ago, and beat a really good USC team last night.  Their only other home loss was in overtime to Utah, so they can play with, and even beat, good teams at home.

-Drake lost another game that they should have won, this time at Missouri State, 52-49.  I’m very close to saying that one of Drake’s win better be that last Missouri Valley Conference Tournament game, because they are out of strikes and can’t get inside the bubble.  They basically need to win out to not need the auto-bid.

-Michigan looked like a directional Michigan school against Central Michigan earlier in the week, but looked like a Final Four team yesterday against a Maryland team who had been playing well, but I guess spent too much time partying on New Years Eve.  I believe it was 23-4 at one point, and the game was never really close as Michigan blew them away.

-Memphis, who had been playing well, had a tough road game against a Tulane team that has somewhat underperformed but is still having a good year…and lost 96-89.  This loss doesn’t sink think by any means, but it was one of those road games that, while not easy to win, that a tournament caliber team needs to be able to win.

-Iowa’ suckiness improved a little bit yesterday, but they still didn’t get the win at Penn State as they fell 83-79.  Penn State is looking more and more like a solid tournament caliber team, whereas Iowa just needs to beat ANYBODY to pull themselves out of the tailspin they are in.

-Ohio State went into Northwestern and got an impressive and decisive 73-57 road win.  Northwestern had been looking like a fringe bubble team, but they looked like utter crap yesterday.  The 73-57 score isn’t a close margin, but it’s a much closer margin than how close the game actually was.  Ohio State just dominated.

 

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

-RUTGERS AT PURDUE (Big Ten).  I’ve beens saying for weeks that Rutgers looks like an NCAA Tournament team, but that their resume needs some boosting.  Well, tonight is a chance for them to boost it through the roof!!  The problem is that while they look like Tournament team, they don’t look like a Final Four team, which is what Purdue has looked like, so to win there on the road might be a little bit out of their reach.

-WEST VIRGINIA AT OKLAHOMA STATE (Big 12).  After a ho-hum start, Oklahoma State looked fantastic in their last game at Kansas, but could not pick up the win.  Still, they FINALLY looked like the caliber of team that we were expecting coming into the year, they’ve got a winnable game at home tonight, and if they can start stringing together wins they can play their way in.  WVU is in the rankings, but could use a few notable wins away from home of their own to polish up their resume too.

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Under The Radar Game of the Day – Monday, January 2nd

Southern (4-9, 0-0) at Texas Southern (4-9, 0-0) – 8:30 PM ET

Tonight’s UTR Game of the Day features the SWAC opener for both Southern and Texas Southern. The Southern Jaguars’ highlight of the nonconference portion of the season was a 74-66 win at California; they also had a brief 2-game winning streak when that was followed up with a win against Loyola-Maryland. Bryson Etienne (a one-time Texas Southern player) leads the Jaguars with 12.1 points a game.

Texas Southern also comes into tonight’s game with 2 wins so far in the year against D1 foes. They also beat Arizona State at home back in November in what was part of the official SWAC-Pac 12 Legacy Series (note that the Southern win at Cal was not part of the official series). The Tigers begin a tough stretch where both Southern and Grambling visit Houston; Davon Barnes averages 14.6 points a game for TSU.

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Bracketology 2023: March Madness Predictions (Version 1.0)

We are only 10 weeks away from Selection Sunday as we begin to make our NCAA tourney predictions. HoopsHD’s Jon Teitel correctly picked 67 of the 68 teams that made the 2022 tourney and each of his 67 of were within 1 spot of their actual seed, including 49 right on the money. He will spend the upcoming months predicting which 68 teams will hear their names called on March 12th. See below for his list of who would make the cut if they picked the field today and if you agree or disagree then feel free to tweet us. To see how he stacks up with other websites (ranked 12th out of 148 entries over the past 5 years), check out: www.bracketmatrix.com

SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Purdue (Big 10)
1: Kansas (Big 12)
1: Houston (AAC)
1: Connecticut (Big East)

2: Arizona (Pac-12)
2: Tennessee (SEC)
2: Alabama (SEC)
2: UCLA (Pac-12)

3: Texas (Big 12)
3: Virginia (ACC)
3: Gonzaga (WCC)
3: Duke (ACC)

4: Baylor (Big 12)
4: Arkansas (SEC)
4: Indiana (Big 10)
4: Wisconsin (Big 10)

5: Xavier (Big East)
5: West Virginia (Big 12)
5: Kentucky (SEC)
5: Miami (ACC)

6: Virginia Tech (ACC)
6: Mississippi State (SEC)
6: Maryland (Big 10)
6: Auburn (SEC)

7: Iowa State (Big 12)
7: North Carolina (ACC)
7: Illinois (Big 10)
7: Ohio State (Big 10)

8: Memphis (AAC)
8: San Diego State (MWC)
8: New Mexico (MWC)
8: Marquette (Big East)

9: TCU (Big 12)
9: St. Mary’s (WCC)
9: Kansas State (Big 12)
9: Missouri (SEC)

10: Michigan State (Big 10)
10: Arizona State (Pac-12)
10: Utah State (MWC)
10: Iowa (Big 10)

11: Creighton (Big East)
11: Penn State (Big 10)
11: Utah (Pac-12)
11: Texas Tech (Big 12)
11: Oklahoma (Big 12)
11: Florida Atlantic (C-USA)

12: Charleston (CAA)
12: Southern Miss (Sun Belt)
12: Kent State (MAC)
12: Sam Houston (WAC)

13: St. Louis (A-10)
13: Iona (MAAC)
13: Yale (Ivy)
13: Bradley (MVC)

14: Oral Roberts (Summit)
14: UCSB (Big West)
14: Liberty (Atlantic Sun)
14: UMass-Lowell (America East)

15: Furman (SoCon)
15: Colgate (Patriot)
15: Youngstown State (Horizon)
15: Montana State (Big Sky)

16: Longwood (Big South)
16: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (Southland)
16: SIU-Edwardsville (OVC)
16: Norfolk State (MEAC)
16: Grambling (SWAC)
16: Wagner (NEC)

1ST 4 OUT
Rutgers (Big 10)
Northwestern (Big 10)
UAB (C-USA)
LSU (SEC)

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News, Notes, and Highlighted Games – Sunday, Jan 1st

For Jon Teitel’s 2nd part of the Midseason All-Conference Awards – CLICK HERE

For Stalica’s UTR Game of the Day – CLICK HERE

For Jon Teitel’s first Bracket Projection of the season – CLICK HERE

NEWS AND NOTES:

-Xavier finished off December with a bang and knocked UConn out of the ranks of the unbeaten with a 10-point win at home. The Musketeers are getting closer to looking like a protected seed and UConn is suddenly looking up at teams like Xavier and Providence in the Big East standings.

-Marquette is starting to solidify their postseason status with a win at Villanova yesterday. The Golden Eagles have now won 3 straight against Nova and the Wildcats really need to get a sense of urgency if they want to make any postseason right now.

-Kansas missed their alarm clock and was down by 15 at home against Oklahoma State before mounting a late comeback to escape an upset bid from the Pokes.

-Houston also had to sweat out a home game against Central Florida, but it’s not terribly surprising when you consider how both teams have been playing this season. The Knights have a lot of missed opportunities on their resume and not enough actual wins for the Committee.

-Arizona got out to a big lead against Arizona State on the road and thwarted a late Sun Devil comeback to beat their in-state rivals. The Wildcats are looking like they are a 1-seed caliber team at this stage of the season.

-Only Texas managed to get a win on the road in the Big 12 against Oklahoma; Iowa State beat Baylor, TCU beat Texas Tech (with actual fans in the stands, unlike Clemson) and Kansas State managed to beat West Virginia. Any road win in the Big 12 is going to be gold.

-New Mexico’s winning streak was put to the test in the thin air of Wyoming, but held on for a 1-point win after a pair of free throws in the closing seconds gave them the lead for good. How long the Lobos remain undefeated will be a question that gets asked week in and week out.

-Wake Forest is checking off boxes where they can beat good ACC teams at home, and added Virginia Tech to that list yesterday. Now they just need a good road win or two in conference play.

-Charleston needed overtime against Towson, but their win yesterday should finally vault them into the Top 25 and a spot on tomorrow night’s Hoops HD Report.

-The A-10 desperately needs Saint Louis and Dayton to get separation from the rest of the conference and got that with SLU winning at Saint Joe’s and Dayton winning at a Davidson team coming off of a road win at Fordham. They still have a lot of work to do just to get above the First Four line.

-We’ll have to do some crack research, but we are pretty sure this is the first time San Jose State starts Mountain West play 2-0 thanks to their win at Colorado State yesterday. Chad will not silence the nonbelievers anymore.

-The San Francisco Dons are an inexplicable 0-2 in the WCC thanks to a home loss against Steve Lavin’s San Diego squad yesterday. It’s looking more and more like the WCC will be the Big 2 of Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s and everyone else.

HIGHLIGHTED GAMES:

PROVIDENCE AT DEPAUL (Big East).  Providence can pick up their eighth straight win, get to 4-0 in the Big East, and pick up their fourth true road win.  Their resume keeps looking better and better, and this is certainly a winnable game for them.

-CINCINNATI AT TEMPLE (American).  Cincinnati has won four straight and improved to 10-4 on the year, but they still have a lot of work to do before we declare them NCAA Tourney worthy.  They do appear to be improving, though.  This would be their first true road win of the year if they’re able to pull it off.

-USC AT WASHINGTON STATE (Pac 12).  This should be a winnable road game for a USC team that appears to be improving as the season goes along.

-DRAKE AT MISSOURI STATE (Missouri Valley).  Drake had to sweat (again) the other night against an inferior team in Valpo, but Drake (again) held on to win.  They’re 11-3, which is not a bad record, and you just get the feeling that they’ve amassed it while playing nowhere near their ceiling.

-MARYLAND AT MICHIGAN (Big Ten).  You get the sense that this is a road game that Maryland should win.  They’re a top 25ish team, they’re on the road against an NITish (at best) team in Michigan, and should be able to pull it out.

-MEMPHIS AT TULANE (American).  Memphis has strung together quite a few wins, and they’ll be tested a little bit by Tulane today, but it’s still a winnable conference road game for them and it will give the value of their resume another little boost if they can pull it off.

-UCLA AT WASHINGTON (Pac 12).  UCLA is playing as well as anyone right now, and while winning at Washington isn’t a cakewalk, it’s the kind of road game that a protected seeded caliber team like UCLA should be able to win.

-OHIO STATE AT NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten).  Northwestern is looking like a tournament team to me, but I know they still have work to do.  They’re at home against an Ohio State team that also appears to be a tournament caliber team, and a win today would really help boost their resume.  This is actually a nice opportunity for both these teams.

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